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Cincinnati Reds at New York Yankees MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction 7/19/14

Cincinnati Reds (51-45) at New York Yankees (48-47)

MLB Baseball: Saturday, July 19, 2014 at 1:05 pm (Yankee Stadium)

Alfredo Simon (R) (12-3) (2.700) vs. Brandon McCarthy (R) (3-10) (4.796)

The Line: New York Yankees -120 / Cincinnati Reds +110 --- Over/Under: 8.5 See the Latest Odds


The Reds look to even their series with the Yankees in an interleague matchup on Saturday afternoon.

The Cincinnati Reds came out on the short end of the scoreboard on Friday night losing 4-3 in a game they never led.  Brayan Pena had two solo home runs filling in at 1B for Joey Votto and Zack Cozart scored a run on an error as the Reds plated three runs on seven hits.   Starter Mike Leake was tagged with the loss allowing all four runs over seven innings of work.  The Reds are very much alive in both the NL Central and the Wildcard race but they need to make the most of this six game road trip without the starting right side of their infield in Votto and Phillips to stay within striking distance.  The Reds are batting .249 as a team on the year while ranking 19th in the league in runs scored.  For Saturday’s matinee the Reds will turn to All-Star starter Alfredo Simon who has been a gem transitioning from bullpen duty posting a 12-3 record to go along with a sparkling WHIP of 1.05 and ERA of 2.70.   The Reds bullpen hasn’t been as sharp without Simon posting a 3.84 ERA on the year but with Aroldis Chapman as the closer and Simon consistently logging lengthy starts this sets up as a pretty strong spot for the visitor.  The Reds are 24-24 away from home on the year.

Cincinnati Reds at New York Yankees MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction 7/19/14


The Yankees struck early on Friday night as Brian McCann doubled home a run in the first inning, Carlos Beltran had 2 hits including an RBI single, and Jacoby Ellsbury hit the deciding 2 run homerun in the 5th as David Phelps picked up his fourth win and David Robertson earned his 24th save.  The win lifted the Yankees back above the .500 mark as they sit very much alive in both the AL East and Wildcard races.  The offense hasn’t lived up to its billing thus far this year as New York is batting .252 and ranking 22nd in the league in runs scored while slugging just .381.  The Yankees could need a strong performance out of their bats on Saturday though as Brandon McCarthy makes his second start for the club after coming over from Arizona.  McCarthy chalked up a dreadful 5.01 ERA and 3-10 record with the Diamondbacks but with injuries to CC Sabathia and Masahiro Tanaka the Yankees were forced to roll the dice on him as a reclamation project.  The Yankees did manage to win in McCarthy’s first start after he allowed four runs (one earned) in 6.2 innings against Cleveland.   The Yankees bullpen ranks just behind the Reds with a 3.85 ERA on the year and the Bronx Bombers are four games under .500 in their home stadium at 19-23 on the season.

The Reds are pretty hard to look past as a dog here starting one of their top pitchers against the epitome of a duct-tape starter for the home team.  The Reds are missing a couple key bats but I don’t think it’s a big enough factor to lay the price with a sub-par home team in this spot.

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