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Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Indians MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 7/20/14

Cleveland Indians (48-47) at Detroit Tigers (53-39)

MLB Baseball: Sunday, July 20, 2014 at 1:08 pm (Comerica Park)

Josh Tomlin (R) (4-6) (4.256) vs. Drew Smyly (L) (4-8) (4.352)

The Line: Detroit Tigers -143 / Cleveland Indians +133 --- Over/Under: 9 See the Latest Odds


The Cleveland Indians can go for the rare four-game sweep over the Detroit Tigers on Sunday afternoon.

The Indians have won nine of their last 12 games and are all of a sudden two games above a .500 record. The difference has been an Indians pitching staff that has allowed three or less runs in 14 of their last 20 games. Overall, the Indians have an ERA of 3.94, which is 21st in all of baseball. The Indians have won nine straight when allowing three or less runs. Offensively, Michael Brantley has 17 hits in his last 10 games and Nick Swisher has hit safely in nine of his last 10 games. Josh Tomlin takes the hill, and he’s 5-6 with a 4.21 ERA and has 69 strikeouts in 77 innings. Tomlin is 2-3 with a 6.31 ERA in six career games against the Tigers.

Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Indians MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 7/20/14


All of a sudden the Tigers have lost four straight and are losing a little bit of ground in the AL Central. The Tigers pitching staff continues to stink it up, allowing no less than five runs in four straight games, including a combined 20 runs in this series. Overall, the Tigers have an ERA of 4.02, 22nd in baseball and have lost 10 of their last 13 games when allowing more than three runs. Offensively, Miguel Cabrera has six hits in this series. Starting is Drew Smyly, who is 5-8 with a 4.00 ERA and has 70 strikeouts in 87.2 innings. Smyly is 1-1 with a 5.16 ERA in 12 career games against the Indians. 

The Indians are 4-1 in Tomlins last 5 starts with 10 or more days of rest and 1-5 in Tomlins last 6 starts overall. The Tigers are 5-12 in Smylys last 17 starts overall and 1-7 in Smylys last 8 home starts. 

The Indians still aren't getting much respect with this line, but they haven't shown me any reason to jump off the money train just yet. I'm taking the Indians with the crazy value. 

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