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Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Detroit Tigers MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 7/21/14

Detroit Tigers (53-41) at Arizona Diamondbacks (42-56)

MLB Baseball: Monday, July 21, 2014 at 9:40 pm (Chase Field)

Justin Verlander (R) (8-8) (4.884) vs. Vidal Nuno (L) (2-6) (4.622)

The Line: Arizona Diamondbacks +128 / Detroit Tigers -138 --- Over/Under: 8.5 See the Latest Odds


The Detroit Tigers and Arizona Diamondbacks begin a three-game interleague series on Monday.

The Tigers avoided a four-game sweep against the Cleveland Indians, but have still lost four of their last five games. The Tigers pitching staff has allowed four or more runs in nine of their last 13 games. Overall, the Tigers have an ERA of 4.04 and have lost nine of their last 12 games when allowing more than three runs. Offensively, Miguel Cabrera has 11 hits in his last nine games and Torii Hunter has scored 10 runs in his last 10 games. Starting is Justin Verlander, who is 8-8 with a 4.88 ERA and has 96 strikeouts in 129 innings. This will be Verlander’s second career game against the Diamondbacks.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Detroit Tigers MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 7/21/14


The Diamondbacks are coming off a sweep of the Chicago Cubs and have won seven of their last 10 games overall. The difference during this stretch has been a Diamondbacks pitching staff that has allowed three or less runs in six of their last 10 games. That’s an improvement over a staff that has an overall ERA of 4.25, which is 26th in baseball. Offensively, Paul Goldschmidt has hit safely in eight of his last 10 games and Aaron Hill has four extra base hits in his last five games. Taking the hill is Vidal Nuno, who is 2-6 with a 5.10 ERA and has 71 strikeouts in 90 innings. This will be Nuno’s first career game against the Tigers.

The Tigers are 6-1 in Verlanders last 7 starts vs. National League West and 2-7 in Verlanders last 9 starts as a favorite. The Diamondbacks are 6-0 in their last 6 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record and 5-16 in their last 21 games as a home underdog. The Tigers are 2-6 in the last 8 meetings in Arizona.

Is Verlander back to pitching at an elite level? Who knows? I do know we're getting the much better pitcher and the better team for a fairly cheap price. 

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