Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 7/21/14
Miami Marlins (44-52) at Atlanta Braves (53-44)
MLB Baseball: Monday, July 21, 2014 at 7:10 pm (Turner Field)
Tom Koehler (R) (6-7) (3.994) vs. Julio Teheran (R) (9-6) (2.707)
The Line: Atlanta Braves -200 / Miami Marlins +185 --- Over/Under: 7.5 See the Latest Odds
TV: FSN-FL, SPSO
The Miami Marlins and Atlanta Braves begin a four-game series on Monday night.
The Marlins just lost two of three to the San Francisco Giants and now go on the road where they’re a horrible 17-28. The Marlins offense, which has been solid for much of the season, has been held to three or less runs in eight of their last nine games. Giancarlo Stanton has scored a run in each of his last three games and Casey McGehee has hit safely in nine of his last 10 games. Pitching wise, the Marlins have an ERA of 4.04, 22nd in the majors. Tom Koehler takes the hill, and he’s 6-7 with a 3.99 ERA and has 88 strikeouts in 112.2 innings. Koehler is 0-2 with a 3.62 ERA in seven career games against the Braves.
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The Braves took two of three from the Philadelphia Phillies and have won five of their last seven games overall. While the Braves are still the cream of the crop in the NL East, their pitching staff has allowed four or more runs in seven of their last 10 games. Still, the Braves have won five of their last nine games when that’s the case. Overall, the Braves have the sixth best ERA in baseball at 3.34. Offensively, Justin Upton has hit safely in eight of his last 10 games and Chris Johnson has 10 RBI in his last five games. Starting is Julio Teheran, who is 9-6 with a 2.71 ERA and has 116 strikeouts in 136.1 innings. Teheran is 4-0 with a 2.50 ERA in six career starts against the Marlins.
The Marlins are 3-7 in Koehlers last 10 starts as a road underdog and 1-5 in Koehlers last 6 starts overall. The Braves are 13-6 in Teherans last 19 starts overall and 8-2 in Teherans last 10 home starts. The Marlins are 2-5 in the last 7 meetings in Atlanta.
It's tough to pick the Marlins on the road, especially against a Braves team that's had their number over the years. However, neither team has been playing all that great over the last month and the Braves certainly aren't worth the hype they're getting in this spot. I'll take the fish as a value play.