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New York Yankees vs. Texas Rangers MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction 7/23/14

Texas Rangers (40-60) at New York Yankees (51-48)

MLB Baseball: Wednesday, July 23, 2014 at 7:05 pm (Yankee Stadium)

Yu Darvish (R) (9-5) (2.877) vs. David Phelps (R) (4-4) (4.087)

The Line: New York Yankees +107 / Texas Rangers -117 --- Over/Under: 7.5 See the Latest Odds


The Rangers and Yankees square off for game three of their four game series after playing 14 innings on Tuesday.

The Texas Rangers have been one of the biggest disappointments of the season as injuries have decimated the club all year.  On Tuesday night the Rangers broke a scoreless tie in the top of the 13th on a J.P. Arencibia home run, only to have Joakim Soria blow the save in the bottom of the inning and Nick Tepesch take the loss in the bottom of the 14th.  For Wednesday’s game the Rangers will turn to strikeout machine Yu Darvish in search of his tenth win of the year.  Darvish hasn’t been his dominant self thus far in the month of July with an ERA of 5.60, but with his track record since coming over and diverse arsenal of pitches you have to expect the Japanese righty to be on his game as a default assumption.  For the year Darvish owns a WHIP of 1.21 and ERA of 2.88.  Darvish’s numbers are slightly worse on the road but given yesterday’s marathon outing the Rangers gain a slight edge by sending out a starter that can work deep into the ballgame. 

New York Yankees vs. Texas Rangers MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction 7/23/14


The New York Yankees improved to 51-48 on the year and 22-24 in the Bronx as new acquisition Chase Headley delivered a walk off single to better introduce himself to his new city.  Journeyman left hander Jeff Francis picked up the win as the Yankees scored just twice on 12 hits.   New York will look to gain ground in a tightly contested AL East as they send converted reliever David Phelps to the mound.  The right hander has started the month of July strong with a 2.33 ERA after a forgettable June where he was knocked around for a 5.25 ERA.   Phelps has been stronger overall at home and for the season has a combined (starter + reliever) WHIP of 1.35 and ERA of 3.87.  It’s unclear if Mark Texeira will be back in action for this contest but the Yankees could certainly use his power at the plate after scoring just two runs in each game thus far against fairly weak Texas pitching.

It’s tough to justify laying a price with a Rangers team that’s 20 games below .500, but that’s my pick with slightly more confidence than it would have been if last night’s game didn’t drag on for 14 innings using every reliever on each team’s roster.

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