Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 7/24/14
Miami Marlins (47-52) at Atlanta Braves (54-46)
MLB Baseball: Thursday, July 24, 2014 at 7:10 pm (Turner Field)
Henderson Alvarez (R) (6-5) (2.641) vs. Aaron Harang (R) (9-6) (3.528)
The Line: Atlanta Braves -159 / Miami Marlins +149 --- Over/Under: 7.5 See the Latest Odds
TV: FSN-FL, SPSO, MLB Network
The Miami Marlins and Atlanta Braves will wrap up their four-game series on Thursday.
The Marlins are 3-3 since the All Star break and remain six games below a .500 record. The Marlins pitching staff has really fallen off of a cliff lately, allowing four or more runs in eight of their last 10 games. Of course it doesn’t help with the loss of Jose Fernandez, the Marlins ERA has dropped to 3.99, which is 21st in all of baseball. Offensively, Garrett Jones has four hits in this series and Christian Yelich has six hits in this series. Starting is Henderson Alvarez, who is 6-5 with a 2.64 ERA and has 75 strikeouts in 122.2 innings. Alvarez is 0-2 with a 6.67 ERA in five career starts against the Braves.
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The Braves are also 3-3 since the All Star break and are nine games above .500. While the Braves offense has been lousy for much of the season, they have scored five or more runs in six of their last eight games, including 12 runs in this series. The Braves have won 14 of their last 16 games when scoring more than three runs. Justin Upton has hit safely in seven of his last eight games and Jason Heyward has six hits in this series. Aaron Harang takes the mound, and he’s 9-6 with a 3.36 ERA and has 99 strikeouts in 123.1 innings. Harang is 5-5 with a 6.25 ERA in 16 career starts against the Marlins.
The Marlins are 5-1 in Alvarezs last 6 road starts and 10-2 in Alvarezs last 12 starts overall. The Braves are 4-1 in Harangs last 5 starts with 4 days of rest and 4-1 in Harangs last 5 starts overall. The Marlins are 20-43 in the last 63 meetings.
We've cashed on the fish in two of the three games in this series, and now the Marlins have one of the hottest pitchers in baseball on the mound. Once again, the value is on the road team in this matchup.