Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 7/24/14
Chicago White Sox (48-53) at Minnesota Twins (45-54)
MLB Baseball: Thursday, July 24, 2014 at 8:10 pm (Target Field)
Hector Noesi (R) (4-6) (4.622) vs. Philip Hughes (R) (10-5) (3.921)
The Line: Minnesota Twins -153 / Chicago White Sox +143 --- Over/Under: 8.5 See the Latest Odds
TV: CSN-CHI, FSN-N
The Chicago White Sox and Minnesota Twins meet Thursday night for a four-game series at Target Field.
The White Sox have lost seven of their last 11 games and are 3-3 since the All Star break. While the White Sox have been a scoring machine all season, they’ve been held to three or less runs in six of their last seven games. The White Sox pitching isn’t good enough for that to be the case, as they’ve lost 13 of their last 17 games when scoring three or less runs. Jose Abreu has a 13-game hitting streak and Adam Dunn has hit safely in seven of his last nine games. Pitching, the White Sox have an ERA of 4.20. Hector Noesi takes the hill, and he’s 4-7 with a 5.21 ERA and has 72 strikeouts in 93.1 innings. Noesi is 1-0 with a 4.15 ERA in four career games against the Twins.
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The Twins have won seven of their last 12 games, but are still eight games below a .500 record. The Twins remain the toughest team to figure out due to their inconsistent pitching that gets rocked more times than not. Overall, the Twins have an ERA of 4.32 and has allowed four or more runs in 10 of their last 18 games. The Twins have lost 15 of their last 16 games when allowing more than three runs. Offensively, Brain Dozier has four hits in his last two games and Trevor Plouffe has hit safely in eight of his last 10 games. Starting is Phil Hughes, who is 10-6 with a 4.06 ERA and has 109 strikeouts in 128.2 innings. Hughes is 4-2 with a 2.68 ERA in 13 career games against the Twins.
The White Sox are 2-5 in Noesis last 7 starts and 1-4 in Noesis last 5 road starts. The Twins are 12-5 in Hughes' last 17 starts and 2-5 in Hughes' last 7 starts vs. a team with a losing record. The White Sox are 0-4 in the last 4 meetings in Minnesota.
Can we trust the Twins with the way they're playing? Not me. To me, this is a sign that one of those horrible pitching performances is right around the corner. I'm taking the White Sox and the value of the plus money.