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Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padres MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 7/27/14

San Diego Padres (46-56) at Atlanta Braves (55-48)

MLB Baseball: Sunday, July 27, 2014 at 5:05 pm (Turner Field)

Eric Stults (L) (3-12) (5.003) vs. Mike Minor (L) (3-6) (5.317)

The Line: Atlanta Braves -174 / San Diego Padres +164 --- Over/Under: 7.5 See the Latest Odds


The San Diego Padres and Atlanta Braves play game three of four on Sunday afternoon.

The Padres had their three-game winning streak snapped on Saturday, but they’re still 5-3 since the All Star break. The Padres offense hasn’t been itself lately, producing four or more runs in five of their last eight games. This is a San Diego team that is dead last in every major offensive category. Seth Smith has 14 hits in his last 10 games and Rene Rivera has five RBI in his last three games. The Padres have an ERA of 3.16, which is fourth in all of baseball. Starting is Eric Stults, who is 3-12 with a 5.00 ERA and has 66 strikeouts in 104.1 innings. Stults is 2-2 with a 2.48 ERA in seven career games against the Braves.

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Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padres MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 7/27/14


The Braves continue their struggles, as they’re just 4-5 since the All Star break and losing some ground in the NL East. The Braves just can’t get their pitching and batting lineup on the same page, as they’ve scored three or fewer runs in three of their last six games. Freddie Freeman has five hits in this series and Chris Johnson has 11 RBI in his last 10 games. The Braves pitching staff has an ERA of 3.32, which is fifth in the majors. Taking the hill is Mike Minor, who is 3-6 with a 5.32 ERA and has 80 strikeouts in 86.1 innings. Minor is 0-2 with a 4.50 ERA in two career starts against the Padres.

The Padres are 0-4 in Stults' last 4 starts with 4 days of rest and 1-8 in Stults' last 9 starts overall. The Braves are 11-2 in Minors last 13 starts vs. National League West and 1-4 in Minors last 5 starts during game 3 of a series. 

It's hard to trust the Braves with the way they've been playing in the second half and there's no way I'm laying such heavy chalk. I'll take a shot in the dark with the Padres given the value. 

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