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New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 7/28/14

Philadelphia Phillies (45-59) at New York Mets (49-55)

MLB Baseball: Monday, July 28, 2014 at 7:10 pm (Citi Field)

AJ Burnett (R) (6-9) (3.857) vs. Bartolo Colon (R) (9-8) (4.030)

The Line: New York Mets -136 / Philadelphia Phillies +126 --- Over/Under: 7 See the Latest Odds


The Philadelphia Phillies and New York Mets begin a three-game series Monday at Citi Field.

The Phillies have lost six of their 10 games since the All Star break and are 13 games below a .500 record. The Phillies pitching staff has allowed four or more runs in five of their last eight games and have lost seven of their last eight when allowing more than three runs. Overall, the Phillies have an ERA of 4.03, which is 23rd in baseball. Offensively, Ryan Howard has 10 RBI in his last 10 games and Marlon Byrd has hit safely in eight of his last nine games. A.J. Burnett takes the hill, and he’s 6-9 with a 3.86 ERA and has 119 strikeouts in 144.2 innings. Burnett is 5-6 with a 3.55 ERA in 21 career starts against the Mets.

New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 7/28/14


The Mets have won four of their last six games and have pulled within five games of a .500 record. While the Mets are winning lately, they’ve gone nine straight games scoring three or fewer runs. Of course, a lack of offense has haunted the Mets all season. Lucas Duda has hit safely in nine of his last 10 games and Daniel Murphy has seven hits in his last three games. Pitching wise, the Mets have an ERA of 3.54, which is 10th in the majors. Starting is Bartolo Colon, who is 9-8 with a 4.03 ERA and has 100 strikeouts in 134 innings. Colon is 2-2 with a 4.26 ERA in six career starts against the Phillies.

The Phillies are 1-4 in Burnetts last 5 road starts and 1-5 in Burnetts last 6 starts overall. The Mets are 4-0 in Colons last 4 starts during game 1 of a series and 9-4 in Colons last 13 starts overall. The Phillies are 11-5 in the last 16 meetings in New York.

A battle between two poor teams with veteran pitchers on the mound. The only real advantage I see in this matchup is that the Phillies have had great success playing against the Mets in NY. I'll take the Phillies and the plus money. 

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