San Francisco Giants vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 7/28/14
Pittsburgh Pirates (54-49) at San Francisco Giants (57-47)
MLB Baseball: Monday, July 28, 2014 at 10:15 pm (AT&T Park)
Vance Worley (R) (3-1) (2.793) vs. Madison Bumgarner (L) (12-7) (3.192)
The Line: San Francisco Giants -158 / Pittsburgh Pirates +148 --- Over/Under: 6.5 See the Latest Odds
TV: ROOT-PIT, NBC Bay Area
The Pittsburgh Pirates and San Francisco Giants begin a three-game series Monday at AT&T Park.
The Pirates are a solid 6-3 since the All Star break and six games above a .500 record. The Pirates offense has caught fire lately, producing five or more runs in four of their last seven games and have won six straight games when scoring more than three runs. Neil Walker has hit safely in eight of his last 10 games and Josh Harrison has 11 hits in his last 10 games. Pitching wise, the Pirates have an ERA of 3.77, which is 15th in the majors. Vance Worley gets the ball, and he’s 3-1 with a 3.10 ERA and has 27 strikeouts in 40.2 innings. Worley is 2-1 with a 4.09 ERA in three career starts against the Giants.
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The Giants have lost four straight and were just swept by the Los Angeles Dodgers. The issue for the Giants remains a lack of offense, as they’ve been held to three or less runs in five straight games. This has been a problem all season for the Giants. Buster Posey has homered twice in his last six games and Michael Morse has hit safely in eight of his last 10 games. The Giants pitching staff has an ERA of 3.37, which is seventh in the majors. Starting is Madison Bumgarner, who is 12-7 with a 3.19 ERA and has 141 strikeouts in 141 innings. Bumgarner is 1-2 with a 1.71 ERA in three career starts against the Pirates.
The Pirates are 1-4 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series and 14-6 in their last 20 vs. National League West. The Giants are 1-4 in Bumgarners last 5 home starts and 5-1 in their last 6 games as a favorite.
Bumgarner hasn't done well this season at home and the Giants can't put runs on the board. I'll give the Pirates a serious luck with the plus money we're getting here.