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Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 7/29/14

Washington Nationals (57-45) at Miami Marlins (51-53)

MLB Baseball: Tuesday, July 29, 2014 at 7:10 pm (Marlins Park)

Stephen Strasburg (R) (7-8) (3.670) vs. Henderson Alvarez (R) (7-5) (2.617)

The Line: Miami Marlins +133 / Washington Nationals -143 --- Over/Under: 7 See the Latest Odds


The Washington Nationals and Miami Marlins will play game two of three on Tuesday night.

The Nationals are 6-4 since the All Star break and 11 games above a .500 record. The Nationals pitching staff, which has the best ERA in baseball at 3.07, has allowed four or more runs in five of their last 10 games. The Nationals had a 6-0 lead over the Marlins on Monday in the seventh inning but blew the game late. Offensively, Jayson Werth has gotten on base at least once in 15 straight games and Wilson Ramos has 13 hits in his last 10 games. Starting is Stephen Strasburg, who is 7-8 with a 3.67 ERA and has 163 strikeouts in 137.1 innings. Strasburg is 7-4 with a 4.17 ERA in 16 career starts against the Marlins.

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Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 7/29/14


Don’t look now, but the Marlins have won eight of their last nine games and are one win away from becoming a .500 ball club. The Marlins pitching staff has turned things around during this stretch, allowing three or fewer runs in six of their last nine games. Overall, the Marlins have an ERA of 3.92, which is good for 20th in the majors. Offensively, Garrett Jones has hit safely in eight of his last 10 games and Jeff Baker has an 11-game hitting streak. Henderson Alvarez gets the ball, and he’s 7-5 with a 2.62 ERA and has 79 strikeouts in 130.2 innings. Alvarez is 0-3 with a 3.19 ERA in six career starts against the Nationals.

The Nationals are 2-5 in Strasburg's last 7 road starts and 2-6 in Strasburg's last 8 starts overall. The Marlins are 8-1 in Alvarez's last 9 home starts and 13-3 in Alvarez's last 16 starts. The Nationals are 4-1 in Strasburg's last 5 starts vs. Marlins, while the Marlins are 1-4 in Alvarez's last 5 starts vs. Nationals. 

Not sure how anybody is picking against the Marlins right now, especially with Alvarez on the mound. The fish are the hottest team in baseball right now and Alvarez is the hottest pitcher in baseball. We've been cashing on the Marlins in the underdog all season and that's not going to stop here. 

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