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New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 7/30/14

Philadelphia Phillies (46-60) at New York Mets (51-55)

MLB Baseball: Wednesday, July 30, 2014 at 12:10 pm (Citi Field)

Kyle Kendrick (R) (5-10) (4.865) vs. Zack Wheeler (R) (5-8) (3.496)

The Line: New York Mets -143 / Philadelphia Phillies +133 --- Over/Under: 7.5 See the Latest Odds


The Philadelphia Phillies and New York Mets play a rubber game on Wednesday afternoon.

The Phillies have won four of their last six games and are 13 games below a .500 record. The Phillies have really fallen off the map the last month or so, in large part due to their pitching staff which has the 23rd best ERA at 4.03. The Phillies have allowed four or more runs in nine of their last 14 games. Offensively, Marlon Byrd has 17 hits in his last 10 games and Chase Utley has eight RBI in his last seven games. Kyle Kendrick takes the hill, and he’s 5-10 with a 4.87 ERA and has 82 strikeouts in 131.1 innings. Kendrick is 8-8 with a 3.71 ERA in 24 career games against the Mets.

New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 7/30/14


The Mets have won five of their last eight games and are five games back from a .500 record. The Mets pitching staff has really buckled down during this stretch, allowing three or fewer runs in five of their last eight games. Overall, the Mets have an ERA of 3.49, which is 10th best in the majors. Offensively, Curtis Granderson has eight hits in his last 10 games and Daniel Murphy has hit safely in eight of his last 10 games. Starting is Zack Wheeler, who is 5-8 with a 3.64 ERA and has 121 strikeouts in 121 innings. Wheeler is 1-1 with a 2.55 ERA in three career starts against the Phillies.

The Phillies are 5-11 in Kendricks last 16 road starts and 2-6 in Kendricks last 8 starts vs. National League East. The Mets are 1-4 in Wheelers last 5 starts during game 3 of a series and 6-1 in their last 7 home games vs. a right-handed starter. The Phillies are 4-1 in Kendricks last 5 road starts vs. Mets.

I don't trust the Mets as heavy favorites, and Kendrick has had success against the Mets in his career. Give me the Phillies for the plus money. 

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