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Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction 8/1/14

Seattle Mariners (56-52) at Baltimore Orioles (60-47)

MLB Baseball: Friday, August 1, 2014 at 7:05 pm (Camden Yards)

Roenis Elias (L) (8-8) (4.306) vs. Wei-Yin Chen (L) (11-3) (3.923)

The Line: Baltimore Orioles -134 / Seattle Mariners +124 --- Over/Under: 8.5 See the Latest Odds


The Orioles look to stay atop the AL East standings as they host the Mariners for a weekend series in Baltimore.

The Seattle Mariners left Cleveland with a series win on Thursday night as they rallied in the 8th inning with a two run HR from Mike Zunino to win 6-5.  Starter Chris Young allowed four runs over 5 1/3 innings to get a no decision, Joe Beimel picked up his third win of the season in relief, and Fernando Rodney earned his 30th save of the year.  The Mariners have scuffled in the second half of the season with a 5-8 record but still remain very much alive in wild card contention despite being out of reach in the ultra-competitive AL West.  For Friday night’s game the Mariners will hand the ball to lefty Roenis Elias who has been as much of a Jekyl and Hyde story as you’re likely to find.  The Cuban rookie did have success against the Orioles in his most recent outing though allowing just one run on four hits over five innings while not factoring in the decision.  Elias was similarly effective in his prior start against the Mets, but was bombed by the Twins and White Sox to start the month of July.  For the season Elias has a WHIP of 1.27 and ERA of 4.31 to go along with an 8-8 record; it’s also worth noting that Elias has done his best work by far in day games.  The Mariners are a better road team than home team entering this contest with a 30-21 record away from Safeco field.

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Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction 8/1/14


The Baltimore Orioles lost 1-0 in 13 innings last night as they couldn’t cook up any offense to sweep the Angels.  The loss dropped the O’s to 8-5 in the second half of the season as they still retain sole possession of first  place in the AL East with a 1.5 game cushion over the streaking Blue Jays. The Orioles also dropped to 12-4 in extra-inning games to maintain the league’s best record in such contests. On Friday night the home team will look to Taiwanese left-hander Wei-Yin Chen in hopes of continuing their successful home stand.  Chen has turned up his game in June and July after a forgettable start to the season; the lefty turned in his best performance of the season last start against this very Mariners team, pitching eight innings of shutout ball while allowing just five hits.  For the season Chen has a WHIP of 1.26 and ERA of 3.92 while posting a record of 11-3, the result of a potent Orioles offense consistently backing him even when he doesn’t have his best stuff.   The Orioles are 28-24 at home on the season.

The Orioles are the better team, reasonably priced, and won three of four against the Mariners in Seattle a week ago.  While Baltimore did play extras last night, the Mariners had to travel so I don’t see that factor playing much of a role here.  I’m rolling the dice on the runline for a nice payout on the home team.

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