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Cleveland Indians vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction 8/4/14

Cincinnati Reds (56-55) at Cleveland Indians (56-55)

MLB Baseball: Monday, August 4, 2014 at 7:05 pm (Progressive Field)

Alfredo Simon (R) (12-6) (2.842) vs. Corey Kluber (R) (11-6) (2.615)

The Line: Cleveland Indians -165 / Cincinnati Reds +155 --- Over/Under: 7 See the Latest Odds


Ohio teams with identical records square off in Cleveland as the Indians host the Reds on Monday night.

The Cincinnati Reds were sputtering out of the All-Star break, but their latest series in Miami has righted the ship for the moment as they took three of four from the Marlins over the weekend.  The Reds pitching staff dominated the entire series allowing just eight runs over four games, and the offense even broke out of their slump scoring five or more runs in two of the wins.  In Sunday afternoon’s game, Mike Leake delivered a strong outing allowing just three hits and one run over six innings and the entire team pitched in on offense as slugger Todd Frazier delivered four hits including an RBI single, catcher Devin Mesoraco had two hits and two RBI’s and Billy Hamilton had two hits, an RBI and scored three runs in the 7-3 win.  The Reds will look to carry that momentum forward as they send Alfredo Simon to the mound for Monday’s opener in Cleveland.  Simon has lost his last three starts chasing an elusive 13th win, but for the season has been sharp with a WHIP of 1.10 and ERA of 2.84.  The 33 year old right hander has lasted six innings or more in eight of his last ten starts and has not conceded more than three earned runs in each of his last ten starts.  The Reds are 27-30 away from home on the season.

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Cleveland Indians vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction 8/4/14


The Cleveland Indians were sellers at the trade deadline, sending former ace Justin Masterson and starting SS Asdrubal Cabrera to the Cardinals and Nationals respectively, but it didn’t stop them from feasting on the skidding Rangers over the weekend in a three game sweep.  In Sunday afternoon’s game, the Indians struggled against Yu Darvish, but David Murphy tied the game at three in the bottom of the ninth with a two run homer and Michael Brantley delivered a walk off home run on the first pitch he saw in the 12th to secure the victory.  While overcoming the Tigers in the AL Central is likely a tall order, the Indians are just three games out of the second wild card spot after the Blue Jays dropped three straight in Houston over the weekend.   Cleveland will look to keep their winning streak alive as they send newly designated ace Corey Kluber to the mound on Monday night.  Kluber pitched back-to-back complete games in his last two outings and has been stellar all season with a WHIP of 1.08 and ERA of 2.61 to complement his 11-6 record.  The 28 year old right hander finished July with a 4-0 record, 1.54 ERA and 0.68 WHIP while striking out 43 and walking just four batters across 41 innings.  The Indians are 33-21 at home on the season.

While the Reds enter this game with some momentum, generally they have been scuffling at the plate in the second half of the season and unless Kluber overexerted himself in his last two starts I see that theme re-presenting itself in a big way in this matchup.   

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