Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction 8/10/14
Miami Marlins (57-59) at Cincinnati Reds (59-58)
MLB Baseball: Sunday, August 10, 2014 at 1:10 pm (Great American Ball Park)
Brad Hand (L) (2-3) (3.832) vs. Johnny Cueto (R) (13-6) (2.045)
The Line: Cincinnati Reds -179 / Miami Marlins +169 --- Over/Under: 7 See the Latest Odds
TV: FSFL, FSOH
The Reds look to avoid a home sweep at the hands of the Marlins on Sunday afternoon at Great American Ballpark.
The Miami Marlins sent Brad Penny to the mound on Saturday night in what looked to be a throw away effort, but the result was a 4-3 win as the veteran pitched five innings allowing two runs (one earned) and the offense managed to efficiently push runs across as Giancarlo Stanton had an RBI, Christian Yelich had two RBI’s, and Donovan Solano hit what would be the game-deciding RBI double as the Marlins scored four times on eight hits. The back-to-back wins certainly keep the Marlins alive in the wild card race, but quite honestly it would be a stretch for them to legitimately compete for the postseason this year.
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Miami will look to continue gaining ground on the team ahead of them in the wild card standings though as they send lefty Brad Hand to the mound for his 10th start of the season. Hand has been improving over the course of the season and enters this game with an overall WHIP of 1.42, ERA of 4.03 and 2-3 record across both starting and bullpen work. In seven starts since July 3rd, Hand has pitched 43 total innings with an ERA of 2.72. His overall road numbers for the season are actually better than his home numbers as well.
The Marlins are 26-31 away from home as a team on the year.
The Cincinnati Reds had the momentum of a three game win streak against the Indians coming into this series, but the bats have gone cold while dropping their last two games to the Marlins. Alfredo Simon failed for the fifth straight time to get his 13th win last night, settling for a no decision after allowing two runs on four hits over just five innings of work. Sam LeCure ended up taking the loss as the Reds couldn’t generate enough offense scoring three times on seven hits. The type of weak offensive output that Cincinnati displayed in the last two days is what has crippled this team in the second half of the season.
The Reds will hope to dodge the sweep without needing much offense as stopper Johnny Cueto looks to right the ship. Cueto has been outstanding all season long as he enters this matchup with a WHIP of 0.91, ERA of 2.04 and 13-6 record. The righty is extra sharp at home with a 1.77 ERA and opponents batting just 1.77 against him. In Cueto’s lone start against the Marlins this year, he pitched seven innings allowing just one run on four hits on July 31st.
The price makes this one tough to play outside of a parlay but I see Cueto helping the home side avoid the sweep here in what could be a very close game like the last two have been.