Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 8/15/14
Milwaukee Brewers (67-55) at Los Angeles Dodgers (69-53)
MLB Baseball: Friday, August 15, 2014 at 10:10 pm (Dodger Stadium)
Jimmy Nelson (R) (2-3) (4.000) vs. Zack Greinke (R) (12-8) (2.836)
The Line: Los Angeles Dodgers -171 / Milwaukee Brewers +161 --- Over/Under: 7 See the Latest Odds
TV: FSN-WI, SportsNet LA
The Milwaukee Brewers and Los Angeles Dodgers begin a three-game series Friday at Dodger Stadium.
The Milwaukee Brewers have won five of their last eight games and are 12 games above a .500 record. The Brewers pitching staff has really been sharp lately, allowing three or less runs in eight of their last 11 games. Overall, the Milwaukee Brewers have an ERA of 3.66, which is 15th in all of baseball, and they’ve won seven of their last nine games when allowing three or less runs. Offensively, Carlos Gomez has hit in seven of his last 10 games and Aramis Ramirez has a hit in nine of his last 10 games. Jimmy Nelson takes the hill, and he’s 2-3 with a 4.00 ERA and has 30 strikeouts in 36 innings. This will be Nelson’s second career game against the Dodgers.
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The Los Angeles Dodgers have won seven of their last 10 games and are 17 games above a .500 record. The Dodgers offense has shown a little more consistency as of late, producing four or more runs in six of their last 10 games. The Los Angeles Dodgers have won 11 straight games when producing more than three runs. Adrian Gonzalez has 15 hits in his last eight games and Matt Kemp has hit safely in nine of his last 10 games. The Dodgers have an ERA of 3.31, which is fifth-best in baseball. Starting is Zack Greinke, who is 12-8 with a 2.84 ERA and has 164 strikeouts in 152.1 innings. Greinke is 0-2 with a 6.75 ERA in three career games against the Brewers.
The Brewers are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 1 of a series and 5-11 in their last 16 games as an underdog. The Dodgers are 11-4 in their last 15 games as a favorite and 20-5 in Greinke's last 25 home starts. The Brewers are 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Los Angeles.
There's no value in taking the Los Angeles Dodgers to get the win here with the ML, which is why I suggest taking the run line to really give you more bang for your buck. Greinke has been money at home and that likely isn't going to change against a Brewers team that has been up-and-down lately.