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Boston Red Sox vs. Houston Astros MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 8/17/14

Houston Astros (51-73) at Boston Red Sox (56-66)

MLB Baseball: Sunday, August 17, 2014 at 1:35 pm (Fenway Park)

Collin McHugh (R) (5-9) (3.084) vs. Joe Kelly (R) (2-2) (3.750)

The Line: Boston Red Sox -144 / Houston Astros +134 --- Over/Under: 8.5 See the Latest Odds


The Boston Red Sox and Houston Astros wrap up their four-game series on Sunday.

The Houston Astros have lost five of their last seven games and are 22 games below a .500 record. Nothing much has changed with the Astros, a team that’s young and is struggling to get quality innings from their pitching staff. The Houston Astros have an ERA of 4.40, which is 28th in the majors, and they’ve allowed four or more runs in seven of their last 11 games. Offensively, Chris Carter has seven homers in his last 10 games and Jason Castro has three RBIs in this series. Collin McHugh gets the ball, and he’s 5-9 with a 3.08 ERA and has 118 strikeouts in 108 innings. This is McHugh’s first career game against the Red Sox.

Boston Red Sox vs. Houston Astros MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 8/17/14


The Boston Red Sox have won five of their last six games and have pulled within 10 games of a .500 record. The difference for the Red Sox during this stretch has been their offense that has produced four or more runs in five of their last eight games. The Red Sox have won five of their last eight when scoring more than three runs. David Ortiz is coming off a six-RBI game and Dustin Pedroia has five hits in this series. The Boston Red Sox have an ERA of 3.85, which is 19th in the majors. Starting is Joe Kelly, who is 2-2 with a 3.75 ERA and has 31 strikeouts in 48 innings. Kelly is 0-0 with a 0.00 ERA in two career games against the Astros.

The Astros are 2-5 in McHughs last 7 road starts and 2-7 in McHughs last 9 starts overall. The Red Sox are 2-6 in their last 8 games as a favorite and 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter. The Astros are 1-8 in the last 9 meetings in Boston.

I'm not thrilled with the juice in this line but there's no question the Boston Red Sox are the better team and should get the win here. 

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