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Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Indians MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 8/19/14

Cleveland Indians (62-61) at Minnesota Twins (55-68)

MLB Baseball: Tuesday, August 19, 2014 at 8:10 pm (Target Field)

Trevor Bauer (R) (4-7) (4.347) vs. Kyle Gibson (R) (11-9) (3.963)

The Line: Minnesota Twins +100 / Cleveland Indians -110 --- Over/Under: 8 See the Latest Odds


The Cleveland Indians and Minnesota Twins begin a three-game series Tuesday night at Target Field.

The Cleveland Indians have won five of their last seven games and are one game above a .500 record. While the Indians pitching staff hasn’t been great this season, they’ve allowed three or less runs in six of their last seven games. The Cleveland Indians have an ERA of 3.73, which is 17th in baseball, and they’ve won 11 of their last 12 games when allowing three or less runs. Offensively, Michael Brantley has a hit in seven of his last nine games and Carlos Santana has four hits in his last three games. Trevor Bauer takes the mound, and he’s 4-7 with a 4.35 ERA and has 101 strikeouts in 107.2 innings. This is Bauer’s second career game against the Twins.

Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Indians MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 8/19/14


The Minnesota Twins have lost eight of their last 12 games and are 12 games below .500. Nothing has changed with the Twins, as they’ve allowed four or more runs in six of their last 10 games. The Minnesota Twins have an ERA of 4.39, which is 26th in all of baseball, and they’ve lost seven straight games when allowing more than three runs. Offensively, Trevor Plouffe has homered twice in his last 10 games and Oswaldo Arcia has homered in back-to-back games. Starting is Kyle Gibson, who is 11-9 with a 3.96 ERA and has 74 strikeouts in 134 innings. Gibson is 1-0 with a 2.08 ERA in three career starts against the Indians.

The Indians are 2-6 in Bauers last 8 road starts and 5-2 in Bauers last 7 starts vs. a team with a losing record. The Twins are 6-1 in Gibsons last 7 starts vs. American League Central and 5-2 in Gibsons last 7 starts as an underdog. The Indians are 7-2 in the last 9 meetings in Minnesota.

Gibson has destroyed the AL Central and has been solid in his last few starts as an underdog. I don't like either one of these teams but the value is on the Twins. 

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