Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 9/6/14
Philadelphia Phillies (65-75) at Washington Nationals (79-60)
MLB Baseball: Saturday, September 6, 2014 at 4:05 pm (Nationals Park)
AJ Burnett (R) (7-15) (4.402) vs. Tanner Roark (R) (11-9) (2.982)
The Line: Washington Nationals -185 / Philadelphia Phillies +175 --- Over/Under: 7.5 See the Latest Odds
TV: CSN-PHI, MASN
The Philadelphia Phillies and Washington Nationals play Saturday afternoon.
The Philadelphia Phillies have won eight of their last 11 games and have pulled within 10 games of a .500 record. The difference for the Phillies during this stretch has been an offense that has produced four or more runs in 12 of their last 14 games. The Phillies have won seven of their last nine games when scoring more than three runs. Ryan Howard has homered twice in his last five games and Chase Utley has three RBIs in his last two games. The Philadelphia Phillies have an ERA of 3.85, which is 20th in the majors. A.J. Burnett takes the hill, and he’s 7-15 with a 4.40 ERA and has 165 strikeouts in 184 innings. Burnett is 11-5 with a 3.29 ERA in 22 career games against the Nationals.
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The Washington Nationals have lost six of their last 10 games and are 19 games above .500. The Nationals pitching staff has allowed four or more runs in seven of their last nine games. Overall, the Washington Nationals have an ERA of 3.13, which is second in the majors, and they’ve lost five of their last seven games when allowing more than three runs. Offensively, Adam LaRoche has eight RBIs in his last two games and Jayson Werth has hit in eight in his last nine games. Starting is Tanner Roark, who is 12-9 with a 2.91 ERA and has 124 strikeouts in 173 innings. Roark is 2-2 with a 4.74 ERA in four career games against the Phillies.
The Phillies are 0-7 in Burnetts last 7 road starts and 1-8 in Burnetts last 9 starts overall. The Nationals are 5-2 in Roarks last 7 home starts and 7-3 in Roarks last 10 starts overall.
There's no way I'm paying that much juice for a Washington team that has struggled as of late. Burnett is a veteran pitcher who has owned the Nats in his career. I'll take a shot on Philly at this price.