Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 9/10/14
Pittsburgh Pirates (75-69) at Philadelphia Phillies (67-77)
MLB Baseball: Wednesday, September 10, 2014 at 7:05 pm (Citizens Bank Park)
Vance Worley (R) (6-4) (2.922) vs. Jerome Williams (R) (4-1) (4.537)
The Line: Philadelphia Phillies +116 / Pittsburgh Pirates -126 --- Over/Under: 8.5 See the Latest Odds
TV: ROOT-PIT, CSN-PHI
The Pittsburgh Pirates and Philadelphia Phillies play game three of four on Wednesday night.
The Pittsburgh Pirates have won four of their last five games and are six games above a .500 record. The Pirates offense has been getting the job done in the month of September, scoring four or more runs in six of their last eight games. The Pirates have won seven of their last nine games when scoring more than three runs. Andrew McCutchen has 14 hits in his last nine games and Jordy Mercer has six RBIs in his last four games. The Pittsburgh Pirates have an ERA of 3.60, which is 14th in the majors. Vance Worley takes the mound, and he’s 6-4 with a 3.05 ERA and has 66 strikeouts in 99.1 innings. This will be Worley’s first career game against the Phillies.
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The Philadelphia Phillies are 5-3 in the month of September and 10 games below a .500 record. The Phillies pitching has improved lately, allowing three or less runs in six of their last 10 games. Overall, the Philadelphia Phillies have an ERA of 3.86, which is 21st in the majors, and they’ve won 11 of their last 12 games when allowing three or fewer runs. Offensively, Chase Utley has three RBIs in this series and Cody Asche has hit in seven of his last 10 games. Starting is Jerome Williams, who is 5-5 with a 5.34 ERA and has 62 strikeouts in 89.1 innings. Williams is 1-3 with a 3.90 ERA in five career starts against the Pirates.
The Pirates are 5-0 in Worleys last 5 starts as a favorite and 1-4 in Worleys last 5 starts during game 3 of a series. The Phillies are 4-0 in Williams' last 4 starts as an underdog and 4-0 in Williams' last 4 starts overall. The Pirates are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Philadelphia.
Worley has done well as a favorite, while Williams has done well as an underdog. The only reason I'm taking the Phillies here is because it pays out more. This game could go either way with both teams playing decent baseball this week.