Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 9/12/14
Miami Marlins (71-74) at Philadelphia Phillies (67-79)
MLB Baseball: Friday, September 12, 2014 at 7:05 pm (Citizens Bank Park)
Henderson Alvarez (R) (10-6) (2.881) vs. Cole Hamels (L) (8-7) (2.562)
The Line: Philadelphia Phillies -156 / Miami Marlins +146 --- Over/Under: 7.5 See the Latest Odds
TV: FSN-FL, CSN-PHI
The Miami Marlins and Philadelphia Phillies begin a three-game series Friday at Citizens Bank Park.
The Miami Marlins have split their last 10 games and are three games below a .500 record. The Marlins offense has been carrying the way lately, scoring four or more runs in six of their last 10 games. The Marlins have won seven of their last eight games when scoring more than three runs. Giancarlo Stanton left Thursday’s game after getting hit in the face and Christian Yelich has hit in nine of his last 10 games. The Miami Marlins have an ERA of 3.82, which is 19th in the majors. Starting is Henderson Alvarez, who is 10-6 with a 2.88 ERA and has 98 strikeouts in 159.1 innings. Alvarez is 1-1 with a 2.14 ERA in five career starts against the Phillies.
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The Philadelphia Phillies have lost four of their last five games and are 12 games below a .500 record. The Phillies pitching staff has allowed four or more runs in five of their last eight games. Overall, the Philadelphia Phillies have an ERA of 3.86, which is 20th in the majors, and they’ve lost six of their last seven games when allowing more than three runs. Offensively, Marlon Byrd has a four-game hitting streak and Cody Asche has hit in six of his last nine games. Cole Hamels gets the ball, and he’s 8-7 with a 2.56 ERA and has 172 strikeouts in 175.2 innings. Hamels is 9-13 with a 3.26 ERA in 32 career starts against the Marlins.
The Marlins are 7-2 in Alvarezs last 9 road starts and 17-4 in Alvarezs last 21 starts overall. The Phillies are 5-2 in Hamels' last 7 home starts and 4-1 in Hamels' last 5 starts overall. The Marlins are 10-28 in the last 38 meetings in Philadelphia.
How the Marlins are chunky underdogs is beyond me. Alvarez has been money all season when on the mound and Hamels hasn't had great success against the fish in his career. The Marlins should win this game with or without Stanton in the lineup.