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Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 9/13/14

Cincinnati Reds (70-78) at Milwaukee Brewers (77-71)

MLB Baseball: Saturday, September 13, 2014 at 7:10 pm (Miller Park)

David Holmberg (L) (0-1) (18.539) vs. Yovani Gallardo (R) (8-9) (3.614)

The Line: Milwaukee Brewers -200 / Cincinnati Reds +185 --- Over/Under: 8.5 See the Latest Odds


The Cincinnati Reds and Milwaukee Brewers play game two on Saturday at Miller Park.

The Cincinnati Reds have split their last eight games and are eight games below a .500 record. As the Reds have fallen apart, their pitching staff has allowed four or more runs in seven of their last 11 games. Overall, the Cincinnati Reds have an ERA of 3.57, which is 13th in the majors, and they’ve lost six of their last seven games when allowing more than three runs. Offensively, Todd Frazier has a hit in six of his last eight games and Jay Bruce has a three-game hitting streak. David Holmberg takes the hill, and he’s 0-1 with a 8.25 ERA and has nine strikeouts in 12 innings. This will be Holmberg’s first career game against the Brewers.

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 9/13/14


The Milwaukee Brewers have won three straight and are six games above a .500 record. The Brewers are trying to get their pitching back on track, as they’ve allowed five runs in their last three games and three or less runs in five of their last nine games. Overall, the Milwaukee Brewers have an ERA of 3.79, which is 18th in the majors, and they’ve won four straight when allowing less than four runs. Offensively, Ryan Braun has an RBI in five of his last 10 games and Jonathan Lucroy has hit safely in nine of his last 10 games. Starting is Yovani Gallardo, who is 8-9 with a 3.61 ERA and has 127 strikeouts in 174.1 innings. Gallardo is 7-7 with a 4.17 ERA in 23 career starts against the Reds.

The Reds are 6-23 in their last 29 road games and 5-11 in their last 16 games following a loss. The Brewers are 1-6 in their last 7 during game 2 of a series and 0-7 in Gallardos last 7 home starts. The Brewers are 5-0 in Gallardos last 5 home starts vs. Reds.

Are the Brewers finally back? Possibly. However, I'm not willing to pay an insane price with a team that just lost an insane amount of games over the last three weeks. Give me the Reds as a value pick. 

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