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New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 9/17/14

Miami Marlins (73-77) at New York Mets (73-79)

MLB Baseball: Wednesday, September 17, 2014 at 7:10 pm (Citi Field)

Henderson Alvarez (R) (10-6) (2.814) vs. Dillon Gee (R) (7-7) (3.795)

The Line: New York Mets -117 / Miami Marlins +107 --- Over/Under: 7.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: FSN-FL, SNY

The Miami Marlins and New York Mets will play a rubber game on Wednesday night at Citi Field.

The Miami Marlins have lost five of their last seven games and are four games below a .500 record. The Marlins are really struggling to score without Giancarlo Stanton, producing three or less runs in five of their last seven games. The Marlins have lost 11 straight when scoring three or less runs. Marcell Ozuna has hit in nine of his last 10 games and Adeiny Hechavarria has hit in nine of his last 10 games. The Miami Marlins have an ERA of 3.79, which is 19th in the majors. Henderson Alvarez takes the hill, and he’s 10-6 with a 2.81 ERA and has 102 strikeouts in 166.1 innings. Alvarez is 4-2 with a 3.56 ERA in eight career starts against the Mets.

New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 9/17/14

The New York Mets have lost four of their last six games and are six games below a .500 record. The Mets pitching staff has improved lately, allowing three or less runs in eight of their last 11 games. Overall, the New York Mets have an ERA of 3.57, which is 12th in the majors, and they’ve won six of their last seven games when allowing three or less runs. Offensively, Curtis Granderson has an RBI in the first two games of this series and Travis d'Arnaud has a hit in eight of his last 10 games. Starting is Dillon Gee, who is 7-7 with a 3.80 ERA and has 88 strikeouts in 125.2 innings. Gee is 3-0 with a 2.30 ERA in five career starts against the Mets.

The Marlins are 10-2 in Alvarezs last 12 starts vs. National League East and 17-5 in Alvarezs last 22 starts overall. The Mets are 5-1 in Gees last 6 starts during game 3 of a series and 7-2 in Gees last 9 starts as a favorite. The Mets are 4-0 in Gees last 4 starts vs. Marlins, while the Marlins are 5-2 in Alvarezs last 7 starts vs. Mets.

Although the Marlins are having a tough time doing anything right without Stanton in the lineup, it's tough to turn down the plus money with Alvarez on the mound. 

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