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Oakland Athletics vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 9/21/14

Philadelphia Phillies (70-85) at Oakland Athletics (84-70)

MLB Baseball: Sunday, September 21, 2014 at 4:05 pm (O.co Coliseum)

AJ Burnett (R) (8-17) (4.396) vs. Scott Kazmir (L) (14-9) (3.439)

The Line: Oakland Athletics -215 / Philadelphia Phillies +199 --- Over/Under: 7.5 See the Latest Odds


The Philadelphia Phillies and Oakland Athletics play a rubber game on Sunday afternoon.

The Philadelphia Phillies have lost five of their last seven games and have dropped 13 games below a .500 record. The Phillies lack of offense has been hurting them during this stretch, scoring three or less runs in eight of their last 11 games. The Phillies have lost six of their last nine when scoring three or less runs. Marlon Byrd has hit safely in seven of his last 10 games and Ben Revere has a four-game hitting streak. The Philadelphia Phillies have an ERA of 3.82, which is 19th in the majors. A.J. Burnett takes the hill, and he’s 8-17 with a 4.40 ERA and has 180 strikeouts in 202.2 innings. Burnett is 5-4 with a 3.82 ERA in 11 career starts against the Athletics.

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Oakland Athletics vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 9/21/14


The Oakland Athletics have lost four of their last five games and still fighting for a wild card spot. The A’s have also struggled to score recently, producing three or less runs in nine of their last 10 games. The Athletics have lost eight of their last 10 games when scoring three or less runs. Jed Lowrie has a three-game hitting streak and Josh Reddick has eight hits in his last 10 games. The Oakland Athletics have an ERA of 3.25, which is third in the majors. Starting is Scott Kazmir, who is 14-9 with a 3.44 ERA and has 150 strikeouts in 178 innings. Kazmir is 1-1 with a 5.40 ERA in two career starts against the Phillies.

The Phillies are 1-8 in Burnetts last 9 road starts and 3-13 in Burnetts last 16 starts overall. The Athletics are 19-7 in Kazmirs last 26 starts as a favorite and 1-4 in Kazmirs last 5 starts overall.

I know the A's are the much better team and there's better options than trusting Burnett. However, Oakland hasn't exactly been playing like a playoff team as of late. Given the price, I'll take my chances with the Phillies to pull out a victory. 

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