Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Angels 2014 ALDS Series Pick, Odds, Prediction
Kansas City Royals (89-73) at Los Angeles Angels (98-64)
Royals vs. Angels
The Line: Los Angeles Angels / Kansas City Royals --- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
The Kansas City Royals and Los Angeles Angels will play a five-game series in the 2014 ALDS. The Kansas City Royals made it this far by making an improbable comeback to defeat the Oakland Athletics in a wild card match, while the Los Angeles Angels won the AL West.
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The odds for this series are Royals +155 and Los Angeles Angels -175. It’s no secret to anyone that it would be a considerable upset if the Royals ended up winning this series.
So, how do you cap this series?
This matchup really comes down to whether you think the Angels overpowering offense and star studded lineup prevails, or the Royals small ball and flashy speed can get the job done. Neither pitching staff has a roster full of aces, and they were both in the middle of the pack in team ERA, so I’m considering the pitching matchups a wash. I also don’t put too much stock into the Royals already having to use James Shields, as Jeremy Guthrie and Yordano Ventura both have an ERA under 2.50 in the month of September. It also allows Shields to pitch at home in a possible game that could put the Royals up in the series if they’re able to split the first couple of games in Los Angeles.
The regular season series between these two teams was split 3-3 and three of the six games were decided by two or less runs. The Royals and Angels are a lot closer than people realize, it’s just that Los Angeles has the bigger names and better overall lineup.
With guys like Mike Trout, Albert Pujols and Josh Hamilton, the Angels are seventh in the league with 155 homeruns. Meanwhile, the Royals are dead last with 95 homeruns, but do have 153 stolen bases and showed just explosive they can be in the victory over the Oakland Athletics. It’s a matchup between power and basic fundamentals.
Oddly enough, the Kansas City Royals have allowed 128 homeruns, which is below the league average. The Los Angeles Angels have allowed 106 stolen bases, which is 22nd in the league, and makes for an average of 0.65 per game. Ouch.
Statistics tell us that the Royals should be allowed to play they want to play a lot more than the way the Angels prefer. However, I’m not sure odds of +155 is good enough value to back the Royals right out of the gate. I suggest waiting after game one to see if a possible Angels win can shift the odds in our favor even more.
At the end of the day, however, I really like the Kansas City Royals and think they have a punchers chance to pull off the upset. The Royals don’t have household names and sometimes don’t play the prettiest baseball, but they play as a team and fight no matter what. You can count on one hand how many teams are going to make a four-run comeback in two innings against Jon Lester.
The Royals are thriving in the moment and seem hungry to keep this journey alive. I also don’t like a team that relies so much on the long ball.
While the rest of the world is on the Angels and some are already putting them in the world series, give me the Royals to find a way to win this series and advance to the ALCS.