San Francisco Giants at Washington Nationals - 10/4/14 2014 NLDS Free Pick, Odds, Prediction
San Francisco Giants (88-74) at Washington Nationals (96-66)
MLB Baseball: Saturday, October 4, 2014 at 5:37 pm (Nationals Park)
Tim Hudson (R) (9-13) (3.565) vs. Jordan Zimmermann (R) (14-5) (2.660)
The Line: Washington Nationals -175 / San Francisco Giants +165 --- Over/Under: 7 See the Latest Odds
TV: Fox Sports 1
The San Francisco Giants and Washington Nationals play game 2 of the NLDS Saturday afternoon at Nationals Park.
The San Francisco Giants continue to flex their muscle during the postseason and are being led by their pitching staff that has allowed two combined runs in their first two playoff games and three or less runs in eight of their last 14 games. The Giants have the 10th best ERA in baseball at 3.50 and have won 17 of their last 18 games when allowing three or less runs. Of course, the Giants have to be so great at pitching considering their offense is so up and down any given night. Offensively, Buster Posey has three hits in the postseason and has hit safely in eight of his last nine games overall, while Pablo Sandoval has hit safely in six of his last eight games overall and is being more patient at the plate. Taking the mound Saturday for the San Francisco Giants is Tim Hudson, who is 9-13 with a 3.57 ERA and has 120 strikeouts in 189.1 innings. In the postseason, Hudson is 1-3 with a 3.46 ERA and has 37 strikeouts in 54.2 innings.
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As I was afraid of, the Washington Nationals offense would continue to struggle as they’ve produced three or less runs in nine of their last 16 games. Usually the Nationals are able to overcome this with the best ERA in baseball at 3.03, and they’ve won seven of their last nine games when scoring three or fewer runs. If Friday’s loss is any indication of things to come, the Nationals pitching staff will need to continue its lights out performance in which they’ve held their opponents to three or less runs in 10 of their last 12 games. Bryce Harper has a five-game hitting streak, including a homerun in Friday’s game, and Jayson Werth has gotten on base in 16 straight games. Taking the mound for the Washington Nationals Saturday is Jordan Zimmermann, who is 14-5 with a 2.66 ERA and has 182 strikeouts in 199.2 innings. In the postseason, Zimmerman is 0-1 with a 11.25 ERA and has five strikeouts in four innings.
The Giants are 5-0 in their last 5 playoff road games, 23-8 in their last 31 playoff games overall and 0-5 in Hudsons last 5 starts. The Nationals are 36-16 in their last 52 overall, 41-17 in Zimmermanns last 58 home starts and 50-20 in Zimmermanns last 70 starts overall. The Nationals are 4-0 in Zimmermanns last 4 home starts vs. Giants, while the Giants are 3-9 in the last 12 meetings in Washington.
I don't trust the Nationals with heavy juice, especially against a Giants team that's so experienced and doesn't beat themselves. I'll back San Fran once again and the plus money.