St. Louis Cardinals at Los Angeles Dodgers - 10/4/14 2014 NLDS Pick, Odds, Prediction
St. Louis Cardinals (90-72) at Los Angeles Dodgers (94-68)
MLB Baseball: Saturday, October 4, 2014 at 9:37 pm (Dodger Stadium)
Lance Lynn (R) (15-10) (2.740) vs. Zack Greinke (R) (17-8) (2.713)
The Line: Los Angeles Dodgers -155 / St. Louis Cardinals +145 --- Over/Under: 7 See the Latest Odds
TV: MLB Network
The St. Louis Cardinals and Los Angeles Dodgers play game 2 of the NLDS Saturday at Dodger Stadium.
We came into this series saying that the St. Louis Cardinals can’t put runs on the board, but they dropped 10 runs in game 1 and flipped the home field advantage. Matt Holliday and Matt Carpenter both homered, and the Cardinals 1-6 hitters all had at least one hit in the victory. Holliday has gotten on base at least once in 19 straight games and Carpenter has a six-game hitting streak. While scoring hasn’t been the Cardinals strength this season, they have won seven straight games when producing four or more runs. With the Dodgers offensive firepower, these type of performances from the Cardinals are going to have to happen again to have a chance. Taking the mound Saturday for St. Louis will be Lance Lynn, who is 15-10 with a 2.74 ERA and has 181 strikeouts in 203.2 innings. In the postseason, Lynn is 5-4 with a 4.81 ERA and has 37 strikeouts in 39.1 innings.
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The Los Angeles Dodgers blew a commanding lead and game 1 and continue to show signs of pitching struggles. The Dodgers have allowed four or more runs in 11 of their last 13 games and have lost seven of their last 13 games when that’s the case. What should be scary for the Dodgers is that the Cardinals got to Clayton Kershaw, who allowed eight earned runs in the loss. If there’s one positive to come out of the loss it’s that the Dodgers are more than capable of repeating such an offensive performance, as they’ve scored six or more runs in five straight games and have won 11 of their last 14 games when scoring more than three runs. Yasiel Puig has hit in eight of his last 11 games and Matt Kemp has a five-game hitting streak. Getting the ball for the Dodgers is Zack Greinke, who is 17-8 with a 2.71 ERA and has 207 strikeouts in 202.1 innings. In the postseason, Greinke is 2-2 with a 4.30 ERA and has 30 strikeouts in 37.2 innings.
The Cardinals are 7-1 in their last 8 vs. National League West, 4-8 in their last 12 playoff road games and 0-4 in Lynns last 4 starts. The Dodgers are 5-1 in their last 6 Divisional Playoff home games, 24-6 in Greinkes last 30 home starts and 5-0 in Greinkes last 5 starts overall. The Cardinals are 4-1 in Lynns last 5 starts vs. Dodgers and 2-4 in the last 6 meetings in Los Angeles.
We hit the Cardinals upset in game 1, now it' time to expect the Dodgers to buckle down and get the victory. Greinke is nearly unbeatable in Dodger Stadium and in a must win situation, you have to like LA. I don't love the juice, but sometimes it's worth paying in order to get the victory.