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Baltimore Orioles at Detroit Tigers - 10/5/14 2014 ALDS Free Pick, Odds, Prediction

Baltimore Orioles (96-66) at Detroit Tigers (90-72)

MLB Baseball: Sunday, October 5, 2014 at 3:45 pm (Comerica Park)

Pitcher TBA () (0-0) (0.00) vs. David Price (L) (15-12) (3.298)

The Line: Detroit Tigers -175 / Baltimore Orioles +155 --- Over/Under: 7.5 See the Latest Odds


The Baltimore Orioles and Detroit Tigers will play game 3 of the ALDS Sunday afternoon at Comerica Park.

The Baltimore Orioles have come back twice in this series to take a commanding 2-0 lead, as they’ve scored a combined 12 runs in the eighth inning. The Orioles have scored 19 runs in this series and are an impressive 16-1 in their last 17 games when scoring more than three runs. Nick Markakis has three hits in this series and has hit safely in eight of his last 10 games, while Nelson Cruz has four hits in this series in just eight at bats. The Orioles have been on a mission for quite some time and have proven in the last two games that they have no quit and are never out with the amount of quality hitters they have in their lineup. Taking the mound for Baltimore will be Miguel Gonzalez, who is 10-9 with a 3.23 ERA and has 111 strikeouts in 159 innings. In the postseason, Gonzalez is 0-0 with a 1.29 ERA and has eight strikeouts in seven innings.

Baltimore Orioles at Detroit Tigers - 10/5/14 2014 ALDS Free Pick, Odds, Prediction


The Detroit Tigers seem like a team that’s ready to hang it up, as they have no answer for a shaky pitching staff that blows games left and right. The Tigers have allowed a combined 42 runs in their last five games and have allowed 13 runs past the sixth inning in this series. The Tigers bullpen has the worst ERA of any team remaining in the playoffs, and it has taken long for it to show its true colors. Offensively, Miguel Cabrera has four hits in this series and has hit safely in seven of his last nine games, while J.D. Martinez has homered in the first two games of this series. As I said in my preview series article, the Detroit Tigers would have to score a ton of runs in this series, and at this point it doesn’t even look like that’s enough. Taking the mound for Detroit is David Price, who is 15-12 with a 3.26 ERA and has 271 strikeouts in 248.1 innings. In the postseason, Price is 1-4 with a 5.06 ERA and has 30 strikeouts in 32 innings.

While I've trashed the Detroit Tigers time and time again and have backed the Orioles in both games and don't doubt that a sweep could take place, I think the Tigers do just enough to get a win here. Nobody wants to get swept in front of their home fans, and the Tigers have enough firepower to win at least one game. Don't love the price, but Detroit should win here to live probably one more day. 


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