Los Angeles Dodgers at St. Louis Cardinals - 10/6/14 2014 NLDS Pick, Odds, Prediction
Los Angeles Dodgers (94-68) at St. Louis Cardinals (90-72)
MLB Baseball: Monday, October 6, 2014 at 3:33 pm (Busch Stadium)
Pitcher TBA () (0-0) (0.00) vs. Pitcher TBA () (0-0) (0.00)
The Line: St. Louis Cardinals / Los Angeles Dodgers --- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
TV: Fox Sports 1
With the series tied 1-1, the Los Angeles Dodgers and St. Louis Cardinals will play game three of the NLDS Monday at Busch Stadium.
The Los Angeles Dodgers bounced back in game 2 with its pitching by holding the Cardinals to just five hits and striking out nine batters. The Dodgers are more known for their overwhelming offense than their pitching, but they have now won 12 straight games when allowing three or less runs. However, don’t expect the Dodgers offense to go quiet very often in this series, as LA has produced four or more runs in 10 of their last 12 games. Matt Kemp is leading the charge with five hits in nine at bats, which includes the game-winning homer in game 2, and Adrian Gonzalez has at least one RBI in four straight games dating back to the regular season. Taking the mound for the Dodgers is Hyun-Jin Ryu, who is 14-7 with a 3.38 ERA and has 139 strikeouts in 152 innings. In the postseason, Ryu is 1-0 with a 3.60 ERA and has five strikeouts in 10 innings.
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The offensive struggles returned for the St. Louis Cardinals, as they’ve now been held to three or less runs in 10 of their last 14 games. The lack of run support for the Cardinals pitchers was the reason they were big underdogs in this series and a similar performance from game 2 can’t happen again if they hope to pull off the upset. The St. Louis Cardinals have won seven straight when producing more than three runs, so they can only hope they can find their rhythm returning home. Matt Carpenter has six RBIs in this series and Jon Jay has now hit safely in four straight games. Starting for the Cardinals will be John Lackey, who is 14-10 with a 3.82 ERA and has 164 strikeouts in 198 innings. In the postseason, Lackey is 6-5 with a 3.03 ERA and has 78 strikeouts in 104 innings.
The Dodgers are 4-1 in their last 5 Divisional Playoff road games, 23-11 in their last 34 games following an off day and 7-2 in Ryus last 9 starts. The Cardinals are 5-1 in their last 6 games following a loss, 5-2 in their last 7 playoff home games and 5-0 in Lackeys last 5 home starts. The Dodgers are 18-40 in the last 58 meetings in St. Louis.
I simply don't trust the Cardinals lack of offense in this series. Sure, the Cards have great pitching and are capable of pulling this out, but can they get those timely hits to put runs on the board? I'm not willing to bet it. Give me the overall better team and the plus money.