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Baltimore Orioles at Kansas City Royals - 10/15/14 ALCS Pick, Odds, Prediction

Baltimore Orioles (96-66) at Kansas City Royals (89-73)

MLB Baseball: Wednesday

Chris Tillman (R) (14-6) (3.406) vs. James Shields (R) (15-8) (3.370)

The Line: Kansas City Royals / Baltimore Orioles --- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds


The Kansas City Royals look to sweep the Baltimore Orioles Wednesday afternoon in the ALCS at Kauffman Stadium.

The Baltimore Orioles have simply had no answer for the Royals in this series, as they’ve been outscored 16-11 in the first three games. The Orioles, who led the majors in home runs this season, have been held to just one homer in this series and J.J. Hardy has had a hard time hitting the ball, as he has just two hits in 11 at bats. In order for the Orioles to prevent the sweep, guys such as Adam Jones and Nick Markakis need to break out of their funk and start putting the ball in play. The Orioles just seem like a flat baseball team right now and aren’t bringing that same energy that led them to such a magical season. Taking the mound for the Baltimore Orioles will be Miguel Gonzalez, who was 10-9 with a 3.23 ERA and had 111 strikeouts in 159 innings. This will be Gonzalez’s second career postseason start and first this year.

Baltimore Orioles at Kansas City Royals - 10/15/14 ALCS Pick, Odds, Prediction


Don’t look now, but the Kansas City Royals are 7-0 in this postseason and are one win away from going to the World Series for the first time since 1985. The Royals are just finding ways to win at all costs, and that has included the deep ball as they’ve hit four homers in this series. The Royals haven’t even needed to be aggressive stealing bases with the amount of hits they’re getting. Lorenzo Cain has eight hits in this series and Eric Hosmer has four hits in his last two games. The Royals are firing on all cylinders and are looking more and more like a team of destiny. Taking the hill for the Kansas City Royals will be Jason Vargas, who was 11-10 with a 3.71 ERA and had 128 strikeouts in 187 innings. In this postseason, Vargas is 0-0 with a 3.00 ERA and has two strikeouts in six innings.

The Orioles are 29-11 in their last 40 games following a loss, 5-1 in Gonzalezs last 6 road starts and 11-4 in their last 15 road games vs. a left-handed starter. The Royals are 7-0 in their last 7 games following a win, 1-4 in Vargas' last 5 starts and 48-23 in their last 71 overall. The Orioles are 2-6 in the last 8 meetings in Kansas City.

Again, it's nearly impossible to fade the Kansas City Royals with the way they've been playing. Baltimore isn't playing with the same confidence they had all season. I picked the Royals to win this series but didn't expect it to get this ugly. Well, this looks like the end. Royals end this thing Wednesday afternoon.

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