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Home Run Derby - 7/13/15 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

National League Vs. American League

MLB Baseball: Monday, July 13, 2015 at 8:00 pm (Great American Ball Park)

The Line-Varied by Bracket See the Latest Odds


The 2015 Homerun Derby features a head to head format that is certain to add more excitement to an always popular event.

The Homerun Derby will have four brackets where players go head to head for a full five minutes with the clock stopping in the last minute after a homer hits the bleachers while beginning once any swing  does not contact the ball or the ball hits the ground (not a homerun). Two homers  that are greater then 420 feet earn the hitter 30 seconds of extra time with a 475 foot (or longer) homerun earning another 30 seconds with 90 seconds being the most extra time that can be earned.

Home Run Derby - 7/13/15 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction


The brackets:

Manny Machado vs. Joc Pederson facing the winner of Kris Bryant vs. Albert Pujols

Prince Fielder vs. Todd Frazier facing the winner of Josh Donaldson vs. Anthony Rizzo


Manny Machado 7:1-I’m an Orioles fan and Machado is simply a guy that can do everything and do them well. He is right around the 20 homerun mark heading in to the All Star game but I don’t think of him as a power guy and more of a line drive type of guy that that isn’t perfectly suited for this kind of competition although I would love to see him win it.

Joc Pederson 7:1- I think the casual fans don’t really know of or much about Joc Pederson but they will if the rookie continues to hit long balls. Pederson has 20 bombs and is on pace for 40+ and will be a Rookie of the Year candidate unless he falls off the map. An interesting side note that is more interesting then meaningful is Pederson leads the game in length of his homers.

Kris Bryant 5:1-The ‘other’ rookie in the contest is also in the running for Rookie of the Year and is part of the reason the Chicago Cubs are playing winning baseball this late in the season in what seems an eternity. The numbers say Bryant’s 12 homers are the lowest among the eight competitors but he won the AA Homerun contest in 2014.

Albert Pujols 6:1-The veteran slugger has been in three Home Run Derby contests and has yet to win. Pujols is a natural for this event with 26 bombs to this point and has 546 career homers and is extremely popular among the fans. Pujols is just a great hitter that can hit anybody and any pitcher and is a definite threat with a second place finish in this contest in 2003.

Prince Fielder 11-2-This is Fielder’s 5th homerun contest with wins in this event in 2009 and 2012 so he is an obvious threat to win it all again. Despite ‘just’ 13 homers to date Fielder is built for this type of event at a mammoth 270+ pounds that makes him the largest competitor in the event. Fielder is one of the favorites and that’s deserved.

Todd Frazier 7:2-Frazier enters his second straight Home Run Derby and has the advantage of it being at Great American Ball Park in front of the Cincinnati fans. Frazier is in the midst of a career year with 25 homers after totaling 29 all of 2014 and at 6’-3” and 220 pounds he has plenty of size and strength with the mojo of the home crowd behind him. 

Anthony Rizzo 13:2-Rizzo is the second Cub in the Home Run Derby (Kris Bryant) and is another reason for the Cubbies improved 2015. He has 16 long balls at this point and has proven to be a dangerous man at the plate and he is probably just scratching the surface of his potential. At 6’-3” and 240 pounds he has the natural size and strength that should make him a perfect fit for this event.

Josh Donaldson 7:1-Donaldson has been a fantastic addition to the already potent Blue Jays offense and has proven to be as dangerous as anyone in their lineup with just over 20 bombs thus far. Donaldson blasted 29 long balls a year ago and is on pace for 40+. Donaldson only hit three homers last year in this contest but he will be looking for redemption as one of the leading vote getters for the ASG.

It’s tough to say how the new format effects the contest because it’s not easy swinging a bat for five minutes so we have to wonder is the young guys have the advantage with more stamina or do the Prince Fielder’s of this contest simply pace themselves in a tortoise versus the hare scenario. Obviously this isn’t a money making venture so enjoy this but I might throw some change at Fielder and Pederson winning their respective brackets with Fielder winning it all.

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