Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit Tigers - 7/24/15 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Detroit Tigers (47-48) at Boston Red Sox (42-55)
MLB Baseball: Friday, July 24, 2015 at 7:10 pm (Fenway Park)
J Verlander (0-3) (6.62) vs. R Porcello (5-10) (5.29)
The Line: Boston Red Sox -126 / Detroit Tigers +116 --- Over/Under: 9 See the Latest Odds
The Boston Red Sox and the Detroit Tigers face off on Friday at Fenway Park for game one of their MLB series.
The Boston Red Sox are one of the most disappointing teams in baseball with the fifth worst record overall. The Red Sox are 2-8 in their last 10 games, 22-23 at home, and 12 games behind the Yankees in the AL East. As a team the Red Sox are hitting .253 with Alejandro De Aza hitting .311, Xander Boegaerts hitting .311, and Dustin Pedroia hitting .287. The Red Sox pitching staff has an ERA of 4.50 with the starters at 4.88 and the bullpen at 3.81. For game one against the Tigers the Red Sox start Rick Porcello who has allowed 123 hits and 68 earned runs while striking out 84 over 105.2 innings for a 5-10 record and a 5.79 ERA.
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The Detroit Tigers are in an unfamiliar position as they below .500 for the season and need a strong run to even get into contention for a post-season spot. The Tigers are 3-7 in their last 10 games, 22-21 on the road, and they are 11 games back in the National League Central. As a team the Tigers are hitting .280 with Miguel Cabrera hitting .350, Jose Iglesias hitting .325, and Yoenis Cespedes hitting .291. The Tigers pitching staff has an ERA of 4.40 with the starters at 4.58 and the bullpen at 4.04. For game one in Boston the Tigers start Justin Verlander who has allowed 39 hits and 25 earned runs while striking out 22 over 34 innings for a 0-3 record and a 6.62 ERA.
Boston is 5-1 as a favorite, 5-2 in their last seven home games, and 1-5 in Porcello’s last six starts as a favorite. Detroit is 5-0 in game one of a series, 1-4 in their last five games as road underdog, and 0-7 in Verlander’s last seven starts. Detroit is 5-1 in the last six meetings of these two.
There isn’t much better odds in baseball than betting against the Red Sox as a favorite and while Verlander’s number look bad and are, he has had some quality outings and has been let down by the bullpen but I expect him to get his first win of the year here.