Royals at Blue Jays - 10/21/15 ALCS Game Five Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Kansas City Royals (101-70) at Toronto Blue Jays (97-74)
MLB Baseball: Wednesday, October 21, 2015 at 4:07 pm (Rogers Centre)
E Volquez (14-10) (3.52) vs. M Estrada (14-9) (3.13)
The Line: Toronto Blue Jays -152 / Kansas City Royals +130 --- Over/Under: 9 See the Latest Odds
TV: FOX Sports 1
The Kansas Royals and Toronto Blue Jays play game five of the ALCS Wednesday afternoon.
The Kansas Royals can make back-to-back World Series trips by winning this game. The Royals are really killing things offensively, as they’ve produced 28 runs in their last three games. The Royals have now scored five or more runs in six straight games and have won 10 of their last 11 games when scoring more than three runs. Alcides Escobar leads Kansas City with 15 hits while Kendrys Morales and Eric Hosmer have combined for 20 RBI. The Kansas City Royals have a postseason ERA of 4.22 and have struck out 93 batters in nine games. The Royals have allowed three or less runs in four of their last five games. Edinson Volquez gets the ball, and he’s 1-1 with a 2.31 ERA and 13 strikeouts this postseason.
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The Toronto Blue Jays have lost three of their last four postseason games and need a win to force game six Friday night. The Blue Jays have allowed five or more runs in four straight games and have a postseason ERA of 5.25. The Blue Jays have lost nine of their last 12 games when allowing more than three runs. Offensively, Kevin Pillar and Edwin Encarnacion have combined for nine RBI while Ben Revere has 10 hits. The Blue Jays have scored three or less runs in three of the four games this series. The Blue Jays have won six of their last 10 home games. Marco Estrada takes the hill, and he’s 1-1 with a 3.09 ERA and 10 strikeouts this postseason.
The Royals are 7-1 in Volquezs last 8 starts vs. American League East and 21-9 in Volquezs last 30 starts. The Blue Jays are 5-2 in Estradas last 7 home starts and 17-8 in Estradas last 25 starts overall. The Royals are 2-6 in the last 8 meetings in Toronto.
The Blue Jays are simply too deep offensively to be held down like this all series long. Volquez isn't the best pitcher in the world, and I expect Toronto to wake up kind of like it did in game three. While the Royals still probably win this series, the Blue Jays should have enough to send this back to Kansas City.