Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners - 4/6/16 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Seattle Mariners (1-1) at Texas Rangers (1-1)
MLB Baseball: Wednesday, April 6, 2016 at 2:05 pm (Globe Life Park)
W Miley (0-0) (0.00) vs. C Lewis (0-0) (0.00)
The Line: Texas Rangers -130 / Seattle Mariners +120 --- Over/Under: 9 See the Latest Odds
TV: MLBN, ROOT, FSSW
Coming up on Wednesday afternoon, we’ve got a matinee game three between the Seattle Mariners and the Texas Rangers headed our way from Globe Life Park. In game one, the Rangers managed to edge the Mariners, scoring all three of their runs in the bottom of the fifth inning. Texas got an RBI each from Shin-Soo Choo, Prince Fielder and Adrian Beltre here, outweighing the solo home runs of Robinson Cano and Kyle Seager of the Mariners.
In Tuesday’s game two of this series, Seattle got even with a dominating 10-2 victory. Eight different Mariners players had at least one RBI, with Seth Smith and Luis Sardinas providing a pair each on pinch-hitting duties. Seattle scored a whopping six runs in the eighth inning to put this one out of reach.
For game three on Wednesday afternoon, the Rangers will be giving Colby Lewis the start. Lewis posted a pretty solid year in 2015 for Texas, bagging a 17-9 record with 142 strikeouts. The 4.66 ERA is something Lewis could improve on, and judging by the spring numbers he hasn’t quite worked things out yet.
The Rangers have an impressive lineup of big-name hitters at their disposal this season. Prince Fielder, Mitch Moreland, Ian Desmond and Shin-Soo Choo should all be able to flirt with 20 home runs. Delino DeShields and Elvis Andrus are the resident Texas speedsters, and both of them should steal 25-30 bags.
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Wednesday’s starting pitcher for the Mariners is scheduled to be Wade Miley. 2015 produced a .500 year for Miley in Boston, with an 11-11 record and a 4.46 ERA. Miley had an up-and-down spring, so it will be interesting to see what he can do in a Mariners uniform.
At the plate, Robinson Cano is Seattle’s resident big name in what looks like a pretty good heart of the order. Nelson Cruz should bash 35 or so homers this season, and Kyle Seager should finish somewhere in the 20s in long-balls. Leonys Martin has the legs to steal 30 bases and will be a constant threat on the base paths for Seattle.
The trends here don’t seem to favor the Rangers, but it’s early in the season so take that with a proverbial grain of salt. Texas is 2-9 in Colby Lewis’ last 11 home starts against a team with a losing record (though Seattle is technically .500 right now), and 1-7 in Lewis’ last eight starts during game three of a series.
Conversely, the Mariners are 12-5 in their last 17 game threes in a series, but 3-10 in their last 13 overall. Seattle is also 3-8 in their last 11 games against the American League West, but they didn’t have much trouble on Tuesday.
Despite the intimidating lineup of the Rangers, I like the Mariners here, thanks mostly to the promising arm of Wade Miley. I expect Miley to out-duel Colby Lewis, who doesn’t instill much confidence at the moment.