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Baltimore Orioles vs. Minnesota Twins - 4/7/16 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Minnesota Twins (0-2) at Baltimore Orioles (2-0)

MLB Baseball: Thursday, April 7, 2016 at 7:05 pm (Camden Yards)

P Hughes (0-0) (0.00) vs. U Jimenez (0-0) (0.00)

The Line: Baltimore Orioles -123 / Minnesota Twins +113 --- Over/Under: 8.5 See the Latest Odds


On Thursday, the MLB is bringing us game three of the opening series between the Minnesota Twins and the Baltimore Orioles in Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
In game one of this series, the Orioles edged out the Twins with a run in the bottom of the ninth for a 3-2 victory. Adam Jones posted two RBI here, and Mark Trumbo went 4-for-5 at the plate.
In Wednesday’s game two, things were pretty tight as well. The Orioles came out on top 4-2, thanks to a well-rounded effort from their hitters. Baltimore’s Chris Davis had a solo homer here, while Matt Wieters, J.J. Hardy and Jonathan Schoop each popped a double.

Now let’s get to the Thursday game. The Twins will be trotting out right-hander Phil Hughes to the mound here. Hughes is coming off a 2015 during which he posted an 11-9 record with a 4.40 ERA in Minnesota. The early projections look pretty good for Hughes; it wouldn’t be surprising to see him get into double-digit wins once again in 2016.
Moving over to the Twins lineup, we see an emphasis on power and run production without a lot of speed--but there’s some promise here. Dual threat Brian Dozier has the potential to steal 15 bases with 25 home runs this year for the Twins, while Miguel Sano, Trevor Plouffe and Byung-ho Park should provide somewhere in the neighborhood of 70 home runs between the three of them. Really, it’s a pretty dangerous Minnesota lineup.

Baltimore Orioles vs. Minnesota Twins - 4/7/16 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction


Over on the Orioles’ side, Ubaldo Jimenez will make the Thursday start. Jimenez’s spring started out pretty rocky, but he got the kinks worked out in his subsequent starts and should pitch well here. Some pundits are picking Jimenez for a breakout season--or at least something close to his 12-10, 4.11-ERA performance in 2015.
Baltimore seems to be taking the same approach to their lineup as the Twins are: lots and lots of power with speed being an afterthought. The Orioles have a veritable embarrassment of riches in the home run and RBI projections this season. Chris Davis, Adam Jones and Manny Machado lead the way here; each player should provide at least 25 home runs and 90 RBI. There really aren’t too many weaknesses in the Baltimore lineup.

Moving on to the current matchup trends, the Twins are just 1-4 in their last five Thursday games, and 1-5 in their last six game threes in a series. That said, Minnesota is 4-1 in Phil Hughes’ last five starts during game three in a series.
As for the Orioles, they’re 7-0 in their last seven overall and 15-2 in Ubaldo Jimenez’s last 17 home starts.

Early on in the MLB season, there’s not much to go on besides potential, and the Orioles certainly have that. I like Baltimore in this one, but Phil Hughes should be able to keep them in check and prevent the Twins being on the wrong side of a blowout.

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