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Nationals vs. Marlins - 4/7/16 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Miami Marlins (0-2) at Washington Nationals (2-0)

MLB Baseball: Thursday, April 7, 2016 at 4:05 pm (Nationals Park)

Adam Conley (0-0) (0.00) vs. T. Roark (0-0) (0.00)

The Line: Washington Nationals -150 / Miami Marlins +140 --- Over/Under: 7.5 See the Latest Odds


The Miami Marlins and Washington Nationals begin their four-game series Thursday afternoon.

The Miami Marlins head into this series after dropping two home games against the Detroit Tigers. The Marlins continue to get off to slow starts on the offensive end, as they haven’t scored a run before the sixth inning. Dee Gordon leads Miami with six hits, Giancarlo Stanton has three RBI and Adeiny Hechavarria has four total bases. The Miami Marlins pitching staff hasn’t been great either, allowing 15 combined runs in their first two games despite striking out 22 batters. Adam Conley gets the nod, and he was 4-1 with a 3.76 ERA and 59 strikeouts last season. This will be Conley’s second career game against the Nationals.

Nationals vs. Marlins - 4/7/16 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction


The Washington Nationals are coming off a two-game sweep of the Atlanta Braves and play their home opener here. The Nats have relied on their pitching staff that’s allowed four runs in two games and has struck out 19 batters. Offensively, Wilson Ramos leads Washington with four hits, Daniel Murphy has two RBI and Bryce Harper has one home run. The Washington Nationals have got off to their much needed fast start after the way things unfolded last season. Tanner Roark gets the ball, and he was 4-7 with a 4.38 ERA and 70 strikeouts last season. Roark is 2-4 with a 3.32 ERA and 32 strikeouts in his career against the Marlins.

The Marlins are 7-1 in their last 8 vs. National League East and 8-3 in Conleys last 11 starts. The Nationals are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. National League East and 0-5 in Roarks last 5 starts. The Marlins are 7-22 in the last 29 meetings in Washington and 1-4 in the last 5 meetings overall. 

I expect this to be a game where both offenses break out of their shell a bit and put some numbers on the board. Roark isn't anything special, and Conley is still a young pitcher proving himself with only 11 career starts under his belt. I'll side with the over in this spot. 

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