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Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays - 4/10/16 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Tampa Bay Rays (2-2) at Baltimore Orioles (4-0)

MLB Baseball: Sunday, April 10, 2016 at 1:35 pm (Camden Yards)

J Odorizzi (0-0) (1.59) vs. V Worley (0-0) (0.00)

The Line: Baltimore Orioles +103 / Tampa Bay Rays -113 --- Over/Under: 8.5 See the Latest Odds


On Sunday in the MLB, we’ve got the finale in a very short series between the Tampa Bay Rays and the Baltimore Orioles. This will be the second game of this series, as the Saturday game was cancelled due to rainy weather. No makeup date was initially announced, but we’re likely looking at a June 24 or 25 makeup, judging by the calendar.

In game one if this series back on Friday, the Orioles snagged a 6-1 victory, scoring six unanswered runs from the second inning on. Chris Davis, Jonathan Schoop, Nolan Reimold and Manny Machado each hit homers to keep Baltimore undefeated.

Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays - 4/10/16 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction


It’s looking like the Rays are going to be sticking with right-handed starter Jake Odorizzi for this game, as they’re skipping over Drew Smyly. Odorizzi is coming off a nice victory over the Blue Jays on Tuesday, logging 5 2/3 innings and allowing two runs with 10 strikeouts.
Backing up Odorizzi at the plate, we’ve got a power-oriented Rays lineup. Third baseman Evan Longoria should lead the team in homers this season. Longoria got his first homer of the year in Friday’s opener. Corey Dickerson will also be expected to step up in the power categories for Tampa Bay. Dickerson went 1-for-3 with a walk on Friday, and has three hits with a pair of homers on the season.

The Orioles look like they’ll be sticking with their original Sunday starter as well, and that’s Vance Worley in this case. The right-handed Worley will be making his first start this season after going 4-6 with a 4.02 ERA in 2015.
Worley’s Baltimore hitters have their fair share of power potential as well. Chris Davis could flirt with 40 home runs and 100 RBI this season. Davis has two homers already, with five runs and two RBI in 13 at-bats. Manny Machado and Mark Trumbo could also reach the 25-homer mark for Baltimore this year. Machado has two solo homers as part of his five hits; Trumbo has been cooking with seven hits in 15 at-bats, but hasn’t hit a homer or snagged an RBI just yet.

Now let’s move on to the trends in this Sunday matchup. The Rays are 4-1 in their last five game threes of a series, but 0-4 in their last four road games and 1-4 in Odorizzi’s last five road starts.
Meanwhile, Baltimore is 6-0 in their last six against the American League East, and 9-0 in their last nine overall.

This seems like a pretty rough choice, but I’m going with the Orioles to keep things rolling in the abbreviated series finale. I imagine both Tampa Bay and Baltimore will log quite a few runs here, as neither pitcher fills me with much confidence.

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