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Reds vs. Pirates - 4/10/16 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Pittsburgh Pirates (4-1) at Cincinnati Reds (4-1)

MLB Baseball: Sunday, April 10, 2016 at 1:10 pm (Great American Ball Park)

J Locke (0-0) (0.00) vs. T. Melville () ()

The Line: Cincinnati Reds +115 / Pittsburgh Pirates -125 --- Over/Under: 8.5 See the Latest Odds


The Pittsburgh Pirates and Cincinnati Reds play a rubber game Sunday afternoon.

The Pittsburgh Pirates are coming off their first loss of the season Saturday afternoon in which they scored just one run on 10 hits. The Pirates have had no problem scoring runs this season, and they’re hitting the ball very well out of the gate. The Pittsburgh Pirates currently have eight players with at least five hits and 12 extra base hits overall. Francisco Cervelli leads Pittsburgh with seven hits, Starling Marte has four RBI and John Jaso has nine total bases. Jeff Locke takes the hill, and he was 8-11 with a 4.49 ERA and 129 strikeouts last season. Locke is 3-3 with a 3.32 ERA and 34 strikeouts in his career against the Reds.

Reds vs. Pirates - 4/10/16 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction


The Cincinnati Reds are off to an impressive 4-1 start and hope to keep rolling. The Reds were expected to be one of the worst teams in baseball, but an offense that has produced 20 runs in their last three games has other ideas. The Cincinnati Reds have scored four or more runs in five of their last eight games. Eugenio Suarez leads Cincinnati with seven hits, Jay Bruce has eight RBI and Zack Cozart has seven total bases. Tim Melville gets the ball, and this will be his major league debut. Melville was 31-54 with a 4.75 ERA and 542 strikeouts in his minor league career.

The Pirates are 38-18 in their last 56 during game 3 of a series and 6-1 in their last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter. The Reds are 1-6 in their last 7 during game 3 of a series and 7-19 in their last 26 games vs. a left-handed starter. The Pirates are 4-2 in the last 6 meetings in Cincinnati.

I don't like backing a pitcher making his first big league start, as there's not a lot to go off of. Locke has been decent throughout his career, and the Pirates are the overall better team here. I'll take the Pirates on the road for the cheap price and the fade from the rookie pitcher. 

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