Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox - 4/11/16 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Chicago White Sox (4-2) at Minnesota Twins (0-6)
MLB Baseball: Monday, April 11, 2016 at 4:10 pm (Target Field)
C Rodon (0-1) (2.57) vs. K Gibson (0-1) (7.20)
The Line: Minnesota Twins -118 / Chicago White Sox +108 --- Over/Under: 8 See the Latest Odds
TV: CSN, FS-N
Late Monday afternoon, the MLB is giving us a pretty intriguing matchup in game one of the series between the White Sox and the Twins at Target Field.
The White Sox are coming off a weekend series against the Indians, dropping the first game 7-1 but coming back to even things up Saturday 7-3. Sunday’s finale was rained out, but has been rescheduled for May 23 at 4:10 PM local time as part of a doubleheader.
As for the Twins, they had something of a rough go against the Royals over the weekend, losing 4-3 on Friday and 7-0 on Saturday. In Sunday’s finale, Minnesota had the lead late, but gave up three unanswered runs in a 4-3, 10-inning loss.
The White Sox will be bringing out left-hander Carlos Rodon for Monday’s series opener. Rodon had a pretty solid outing in his first appearance against the A’s on Wednesday, striking out six in seven innings of two-run ball. If he can keep his command in check, Rodon can improve on his reputation for inconsistency.
At the plate, the White Sox feature a reasonably well-rounded lineup. Todd Frazier and Jose Abreu are set to be the big hitters this year. Frazier has two homers, five RBI and three runs thus far; Abreu boasts seven hits, two homers and four RBI in 2016 for Chicago.
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Over on the Twins’ side, they’ll be bringing out right-hander Kyle Gibson in Monday’s opener. Gibson had tons of struggles in his first appearance this season, allowing 12 base runners and five runs all together against the Orioles on Wednesday. Gibson needs to dial in that control if he’s going to do anything statistically this season.
The Twins lineup features at least a couple of notable players, namely Brian Dozier and Miguel Sano. Dozier has just four hits in 22 at-bats this season (with one homer), while Sano hasn’t done much yet either (3-for-19; one RBI; no homers).
Let’s check up on the current trends heading into this matchup and see where we’re at there. The White Sox are 4-0 in their last four Monday games, while they’re 8-1 in Rodon’s last nine starts with four days of rest.
As for the Twins, they’re 6-1 in their last seven home games following a road trip of a week or more, but just 1-4 in their last five game ones of a series.
Given all the factors here, specifically the Rodon-Gibson pitching matchup and the Twins’ recent struggles, I can’t find too many reasons to pick against the White Sox. Chicago shouldn’t have much trouble here.