St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers - 4/14/16 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Milwaukee Brewers (4-4) at St. Louis Cardinals (4-4)
MLB Baseball: Thursday, April 14, 2016 at 1:45 pm (Busch Stadium)
W Peralta (0-2) (10.80) vs. J Garcia (0-0) (6.00)
The Line: St. Louis Cardinals -176 / Milwaukee Brewers +166 --- Over/Under: 7.5 See the Latest Odds
TV: FSWI, FSMW
On Thursday afternoon, we’ve got a great-looking National League Central matchup headed our way between the Milwaukee Brewers and the St. Louis Cardinals at Busch Stadium.
This will be game three of this mid-week series. In game one back on Monday, the Cardinals pummeled the Brewers 10-1 for their fourth win in a row. In Wednesday’s game two, Milwaukee got some revenge, scoring twice in the ninth inning to eke out a 6-4 victory and even the series.
Taking the hill for the Brewers on Thursday, we’ve got right-hander Wily Peralta. In his first appearance, Peralta took the loss on six hits and five runs against the Giants. Another loss came in game number two on Saturday, as Peralta allowed six runs on seven hits in 4.1 innings against the Astros.
At the plate, the Brewers have some solid talent at the top of their order. Scooter Gennett has started things out well in 2016, logging nine hits with three homers and five runs. Gennett came up empty on Wednesday, however. Ryan Braun is another player of note, and he’s been pretty decent with seven hits--Braun has just one homer thus far, though, and went 1-for-5 on Wednesday.
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Over on the Cardinals’ side, they’ll be wheeling out left-hander Jaime Garcia for Thursday’s matchup. Garcia has just one start to his credit in 2016, during which he allowed four runs in six innings against the Braves on Friday. Aside from a rough third inning (during which all four runs came in), it was a nice outing for Garcia.
The Cardinals’ lineup isn’t quite as potent as it has been in recent years, but can still get the job done. Jeremy Hazelbaker has been an early standout, posting 11 hits with five RBI and five runs. Matt Carpenter will be a big piece to the St. Louis puzzle this season, and he’s starting things out with seven hits, five runs and seven RBI. Carpenter was 0-for-3 in Wednesday’s loss.
Now let’s get into the current trends heading into this matchup. The Brewers are 4-1 in Peralta’s last five Thursday starts, but 0-4 in Peralta’s last four starts overall.
As for the Cardinals, they’re 4-0 in Garcia’s last four home starts against a team with a losing record, and 6-1 in Garcia’s last seven home starts overall.
I’m not thrilled with Peralta’s start this season, so it’s tough to side with the Brewers here. That said I’ll take Garcia and the Cardinals to come away with a win in the finale.