Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays - 4/15/16 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Toronto Blue Jays (5-5) at Boston Red Sox (4-4)
MLB Baseball: Friday, April 15, 2016 at 7:10 pm (Fenway Park)
R Dickey (1-1) (8.10) vs. R Porcello (1-0) (6.00)
The Line: Boston Red Sox -111 / Toronto Blue Jays +101 --- Over/Under: 9 See the Latest Odds
TV: NESN, RSN1
Coming up early Friday evening, we’ve got game one of a nice-looking weekend series between the Toronto Blue Jays and the Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park.
The Blue Jays are coming off a three-game series this week against the Yankees. Toronto lost the first game 3-2, then came back to win the second game 7-2, and on Thursday beat New York once again 4-2.
As for the Red Sox, they had an early-week series against the Orioles. Boston dropped the first two games by a combined 18-12 score, then won game three 4-2 to avoid the sweep on Wednesday.
For Friday’s series opener, the Blue Jays are set to start right-hander R.A. Dickey. In his opening start of the year, Dickey got a win, but in his most recent appearance on Saturday (against the Red Sox, no less) he was pummeled for seven runs (six earned) in five innings of work. That gives Dickey an 8.10 ERA with a 1.80 WHIP so far.
Toronto has a lot of talent at the plate, and has no excuse for not scoring runs. Josh Donaldson has jumped out to a great start this year with 13 hits, 11 runs, five homers and 12 RBI. Jose Bautista isn’t too far behind with nine hits, six runs and seven RBI. Bautista came up empty in the Thursday game, however.
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Over on the Red Sox side, we’ll be seeing right-hander Rick Porcello take the mound in Friday’s matchup. In his debut back on Saturday, Porcello gave up four earned runs over six innings, but ended up getting the win over the Blue Jays. That gives Purcell a 6.00 ERA with a 1.33 WHIP so far.
The Boston bats have been pretty well-rounded so far, with contributions from a lot of different places in the lineup. Dustin Pedroia has come up with 11 hits and six runs thus far. David Ortiz is hitting a nice .321 with nine RBI and three homers among his nine hits. As for Brock Holt, he’s getting in on the action as well with eight RBI and seven runs.
Let’s check out some of the current trends here. The Blue Jays are 4-0 in Dickey’s last four starts during game one of a series, and 7-2 in Dickey’s last nine road starts.
As for the Red Sox, they’re 9-3 in their last 12 Friday games and 1-4 in their last five against a team with a losing record.
I’ve learned not to trust Dickey these days, as he’s the definition of statistical inconsistency. That said, I’m going to stick with the Red Sox here and trust that the same result from last Saturday will come.