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Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals - 4/18/16 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Washington Nationals (9-2) at Miami Marlins (3-7)

MLB Baseball: Monday, April 18, 2016 at 7:10 pm (Marlins Park)

T Roark (1-1) (2.45) vs. J Fernandez (0-1) (5.06)

The Line: Miami Marlins -150 / Washington Nationals +138 --- Over/Under: 7 See the Latest Odds


Coming up on Monday, the MLB is bringing us game one of the early-week series between the Miami Marlins and the Washington Nationals at Marlins Park.

The Marlins had some difficulty with the lowly Braves over the weekend. Miami lost games one and two Friday and Saturday by a combined score of 12-7. Then in Sunday’s game three, Miami mounted a solid comeback but still fell 6-5 in 10 innings to get swept out of their own stadium.

Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals - 4/18/16 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction


As for the Nationals, they just finished up with the Phillies over the weekend. Washington took games one and two by a combined 17-2 score, but in game three Sunday, the Nats were shocked as Philly scored twice in the bottom of the 10th inning to eke out a 3-2 victory.

The Nationals are set to start right-hander Tanner Roark in Monday’s game. Roark played well in his last appearance, going seven innings and allowing just four hits against the Braves. That said, Roark had some trouble in his debut against these same Marlins, allowing nine hits in four innings in a loss.

Washington is pretty deep at the plate, and has posted some solid stats. Daniel Murphy has 16 hits with eight RBI and seven runs, while Wilson Ramos also 14 hits with five RBI. Ramos didn’t play Sunday. As for team star Bryce Harper, he’s got 14 hits with 10 runs, six homers and 15 RBI.

Over on the Marlins’ side, they’ll be giving the electric Jose Fernandez the nod for Monday’s game one. It’s been something of a rough ride for Fernandez so far, as he’s accumulated a 5.06 ERA with a 1.12 WHIP over two starts. Fernandez was a little sketchy in his last appearance against the Mets, but did allow just one run in a no-decision.

As for the Marlins’ hitters, they’ve had something of an up-and-down season thus far. Dee Gordon has 15 hits and seven runs to his credit, while Martin Prado has 13 hits and four RBI. Giancarlo Stanton has eight hits with eight RBI, but his BA has suffered in 2016. Stanton is batting just .205 in 2016.

The Nationals are 4-1 in their last five game ones of a series, and 1-5 in Roark’s last six starts against the National League East. Over on the Marlins side, they’re 0-5 in their last four home games but 23-4 in Fernandez’s last 27 home starts.

I’d like to side with Fernandez and the Marlins in this game, but given how terrible Miami was over the weekend I just can’t do it. The Nationals should be able to overcome anything that comes there way here, but it will be a low-scoring game. 

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