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Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves - 4/28/16 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Atlanta Braves (4-17) at Boston Red Sox (12-9)

MLB Baseball: Thursday, April 28, 2016 at 7:10 pm (Fenway Park)

J Chacin (0-1) (3.18) vs. C Buchholz (0-2) (6.33)

The Line: Boston Red Sox -200 / Atlanta Braves +185 --- Over/Under: 8.5 See the Latest Odds


On Thursday at Fenway Park, we’ve got game four MLB action headed our way in the series between the Atlanta Braves and the Boston Red Sox.

This has been a lengthy four-game set, with Boston getting game one 1-0 and game two 11-4. In Wednesday’s game three, the Red Sox won yet again, scoring six runs in the first two innings on the way to a 9-4 result.

Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves - 4/28/16 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction


For Thursday’s finale, we’ll be seeing Braves right-handed hurler Jhoulys Chacin on the mound. It’s been an up-and-down campaign for Chacin thus far, and he’s carrying a 3.18 ERA with a 1.06 WHIP over three starts and 17 innings. Chacin’s last outing was his worst of the year, as he allowed four runs (three earned) on seven hits in 5.2 innings against the Mets on Saturday.

The Braves hitters haven’t quite wrecked things this season, but there are a few bright spots in the lineup. Adonis Garcia has 22 hits with seven runs, and Nick Markakis has 21 hits with 16 RBI to lead the team. In Wednesday’s game, Garcia went 0-for-4, while Markakis posted an RBI double and scored. Freddie Freeman was supposed to be the big hitter this year, but he’s got just two homers to his credit. Freeman hit his second long-ball on Wednesday, raising his BA to .219 on the year.

Over on the Red Sox side, right-hander Clay Buchholz will be making the start on Thursday. Buchholz hasn’t quite gotten a handle on things this year either, posting a 6.33 ERA with a 1.50 WHIP in four starts and 21.1 innings. Back on Saturday against the Astros in his most recent start, Buchholz allowed six hits and five runs in 5.2 innings for his second loss of the year.

Taking a look at the Boston hitters, we’ve got some real talent across the board. Dustin Pedroia has been a highlight, with 30 hits and 17 runs so far. Pedroia was a stellar 3-for-5 on Wednesday with five RBI. Mookie Betts is also playing well these days with 18 runs, 26 hits and 14 RBI. Xander Bogaerts has posted 23 hits and 16 runs. Bogaerts went 0-for-3 on Wednesday but walked twice.

The flailing Braves are just 6-20 in their last 26 Thursday games, and 0-5 in their last five game fours of a series. As for the Red Sox, they’re just 1-9 in Buchholz’s last 10 home starts against a team with a losing record, and 0-5 in Buchholz’s last five starts.

I’m not thrilled about either pitcher here, so things could get ugly on the scoreboard in a hurry. Still, I can’t in good conscience pick the Braves for anything, so I’ll stick with Buchholz and the Red Sox to take the finale and the sweep. 

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