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New York Mets vs. San Francisco Giants - 4/30/16 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

San Francisco Giants (12-11) at New York Mets (13-7)

MLB Baseball: Saturday, April 30, 2016 at 4:05 pm (Citi Field)

M Cain (0-2) (6.43) vs. J deGrom (2-0) (1.54)

The Line: New York Mets -170 / San Francisco Giants +160 --- Over/Under: 7 See the Latest Odds


Saturday at Citi Field, we’ve got another matchup coming in the weekend series between the San Francisco Giants and the New York Mets.
This will be game two of the three-game set. In Friday’s game one, the Mets scored a whopping 12 runs in the third inning and cruised to a 13-1 victory.

Set to start Saturday’s matchup for the Giants is right-hander Matt Cain. On the season so far through four starts and 21 innings, Cain has struggled on a 6.43 ERA and 1.67 WHIP with a 16:8 K:BB ratio. Back on Sunday in his last outing, Cain lasted 5.2 innings, allowing 10 hits with four runs.

New York Mets vs. San Francisco Giants - 4/30/16 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction


San Francisco definitely has some talent in their batting order these days. Angel Pagan has burst out of the gate on 27 hits with 16 runs and 12 RBI. Pagan accounted for the Giants’ lone run (solo homer) on Friday. Joe Panik is in there as well with 27 hits, 17 runs and 12 RBI. Hunter Pence has provided the bulk of the power this year with his four homers, 16 RBI and 14 runs. Pence came up empty on Friday, though.

Over on the Mets side, we’re looking at right-hander Jacob deGrom to make the Saturday start. Though he’s made just two starts this year due to injury and paternity leave, deGrom has been great statistically with a 1.54 ERA, 1.11 WHIP and a 2-0 record. In Sunday’s victory over the Braves, deGrom logged 5.2 innings of one-run ball, getting his strikeout total up to nine on the year.

Providing offensive backup at the plate, the Mets boast several notable names. Neil Walker has bashed nine homers with 17 RBI, while Yoenis Cespedes isn’t too far back with seven homers and 23 RBI. Cespedes went absolutely nutty on Friday, accounting for six RBI on his two hits. Curtis Granderson has offered some speed and a pretty keen eye with his 20 hits and 16 runs.

The Giants are just 10-25 in Cain’s last 35 starts, and 0-5 in Cain’s last five Saturday starts. As for the Mets, they’re 8-0 in deGrom’s last eight starts against the National League West, and 35-16 in deGrom’s last 51 starts overall.

There aren’t too many reasons to side with the Giants here, especially considering deGrom’s hot start to the season. I see a pretty straightforward Mets victory as the most likely outcome.

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