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Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds - 4/30/16 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Cincinnati Reds (9-14) at Pittsburgh Pirates (14-9)

MLB Baseball: Saturday, April 30, 2016 at 7:05 pm (PNC Park)

A Simon (0-2) (16.38) vs. F Liriano (1-1) (4.64)

The Line: Pittsburgh Pirates -200 / Cincinnati Reds +185 --- Over/Under: 7.5 See the Latest Odds


The Cincinnati Reds and the Pittsburgh Pirates will be making another appearance Saturday at PNC Park as they continue their weekend set.
This will be game two of the series. In Friday’s game one, the Pirates got the first victory, securing a 4-1 result.

Toeing the rubber in Saturday’s matchup for the Reds will be right-hander Alfredo Simon. It’s been an abysmal year for the veteran Simon so far, as he’s carrying a groan-inducing 16.39 ERA and a 2.89 WHIP over four games (three starts). Simon came back from a biceps issue Sunday to get torched in a loss to the Cubs, giving up a whopping eight runs on nine hits in only 2.2 innings.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds - 4/30/16 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction


Thankfully for the Reds, the team does have some firepower at the plate. Zach Cozart leads the way with 25 hits and 13 runs, while Eugenio Suarez has 23 hits with five homers and 15 RBI. Joey Votto has 19 hits, but hasn’t quite been able to get going on his .238 BA. Cozart and Suarez, meanwhile, combined to go 0-for-8 with three strikeouts in Friday’s game one.

The Pirates will be looking to left-hander Francisco Liriano for Saturday’s game. So far through four starts this year, Liriano has posted a 4.64 ERA with a 1.69 WHIP on 21.1 innings, netting him a 1-1 overall record. In his most recent start Sunday against the Diamondbacks, Liriano put up four runs on five hits through six innings in a no-decision.

Pittsburgh has a great offense, and we’ve seen them put up a lot of runs this year. Starling Marte has been a star, with 32 hits, 14 runs and 12 RBI. Gregory Polanco is also playing well these days with 26 hits, 17 runs and 14 RBI. Andrew McCutchen has had his rough spots, but still boasts 16 runs with five homers and 10 RBI. Neither Polonco nor McCutchen managed to secure a hit on Friday, combining to go 0-for-7.

The Reds are 4-0 in their last four Saturday games, but just 1-7 in Simon’s last eight road starts. As for the Pirates, they’re 7-0 in Liriano’s last seven starts during game two of a series, and 22-5 in Liriano’s last 27 starts overall.

Simon’s injury concerns make me a little nervous, and given this potent Pirates lineup I don’t think he’ll last long. This game could become a big Pittsburgh blowout very easily.


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