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Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers - 5/1/16 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Detroit Tigers (13-10) at Minnesota Twins (7-17)

MLB Baseball: Sunday, May 1, 2016 at 2:10 pm (Target Field)

M Pelfrey (0-4) (6.33) vs. R Nolasco (1-0) (3.25)

The Line: Minnesota Twins -119 / Detroit Tigers +109 --- Over/Under: 9 See the Latest Odds


Sunday afternoon in the MLB, we’re getting another matchup at Target Field between the Detroit Tigers and the Minnesota Twins.

This will be the final game of the weekend series. In Friday’s game one, the Tigers got a big 9-2 victory. As for game two on Saturday, Detroit scored three times in the first inning on the way to a 4-1 result and a 2-0 series lead.

Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers - 5/1/16 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction


Taking the mound for the Tigers in Sunday’s matchup will be right-hander Mike Pelfrey. It’s been a predictably rough road for Pelfrey thus far, as he’s carrying an 0-4 record on a 4.64 ERA and a 1.92 WHIP over 21.1 total innings. Back on Tuesday in his last outing, Pelfrey logged five runs in 6.2 innings in a loss to the A’s.

Heading up the Tigers attack at the plate, Ian Kinsler is looking good this year with 31 hits and a whopping 21 runs. Kinsler whiffed on Saturday, though. Nick Castellanos is also playing well with 29 hits and 14 RBI. As for team star Miguel Cabrera, he’s got 24 hits, four homers and 12 RBI. Cabrera went 1-for-4 in Saturday’s game.

The Twins will be trotting out right-hander Ricky Nolasco for Sunday’s game. During his four 2016 starts and 1-0 record, Nolasco has posted a 3.25 ERA with a 0.90 WHIP across 27.2 innings. Back on Tuesday in his last appearance, Nolasco struck out nine while allowing four runs in 7.1 innings against the Indians for a no-decision.

Minnesota has had its fair share of difficulties in scoring runs, but does boast a few notable players in the order. Joe Mauer has been solid this year with 27 hits and eight runs. Miguel Sano has managed 20 hits with three homers and 11 RBI. As for Byung-ho Park, he’s been the power station on six homers and eight RBI. Sano went 0-for-4 with three strikeouts on Saturday, but Park bashed a solo homer for Minnesota’s only run.

The Tigers are just 3-14 in their last 17 Sunday games, and 0-4 in Pelfrey’s last four starts. The Twins, meanwhile, are 6-1 in Nolasco’s last seven home starts, and 9-2 in Nolasco’s last 11 starts overall.

I have absolutely no faith whatsoever in Pelfrey’s ability to hold the Twins (or many other teams) in check. With that in mind, I like Minnesota and Nolasco to get the victory here to prevent the sweep. 

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