Cincinnati Reds vs. San Francisco Giants - 5/2/16 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
San Francisco Giants (12-13) at Cincinnati Reds (10-15)
MLB Baseball: Monday, May 2, 2016 at 7:10 pm (Great American Ball Park)
J Cueto (4-1) (2.65) vs. B Finnegan (1-1) (3.86)
The Line: Cincinnati Reds +143 / San Francisco Giants -155 --- Over/Under: 7.5 See the Latest Odds
TV: CSBA, FSOH
Monday evening in MLB action, the Cincinnati Reds will be returning home to Great American Ball Park to face off against the San Francisco Giants in their early-week series opener.
The Giants are coming off a weekend set against the Mets, losing games one and two by a combined 19-6. In Sunday’s finale, the Giants got a little revenge and prevented the sweep with a 6-1 victory.
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As for the Reds, they just finished up against the Pirates. Cincinnati dropped the first two games by a combined 9-2, and then on Sunday, the Reds prevented the sweep with an 11-inning 6-5 victory.
San Francisco will be bringing out right-hander Johnny Cueto (who is a former Red) for Monday’s opener. Cueto has been pretty darn good overall this year, logging a 4-1 record over five starts with a 2.65 ERA and 1.04 WHIP in 37.1 total innings. Cueto’s best outing this season came on Tuesday in his last appearance, when he logged 11 strikeouts in a complete-game shutout against the Padres.
Helping out at the plate, we see a Giants lineup that’s had its share of ups and downs this season. Angel Pagan has played well with 29 hits, 17 runs and 13 RBI. Joe Panik is also a top performer on his 26 hits and 17 runs. Panik has been saddled with a sore groin recently, however. Hunter Pence has provided most of the team’s power thus far with five homers and 22 RBI.
Cincinnati will be giving us Brandon Finnegan in Monday’s game. It’s been something of an unpredictable start for Finnegan, as he’s carrying a 3.86 ERA with a 1.25 WHIP over five starts and 28 innings for a 1-1 record. Finnegan pitched pretty well for the most part in his last outing Tuesday against the Mets, but ended up allowing three runs in 6.1 frames.
The Reds have had some trouble scoring runs this season, but do boast a few notable hitters. Zach Cozart leads the way on 26 hits and 14 runs, while Eugenio Suarez has popped five homers and 15 RBI. Brandon Phillips is also playing fairly well with 21 hits and 10 runs. Phillips went 0-for-4 on Sunday to drop his BA to .273.
The Giants are 4-1 in their last five Monday games, and also 4-1 in Cueto’s last five starts. As for the Reds, they’re 26-56 in their last 82 game ones of a series, and 1-6 in their last seven Monday games.
I don’t see a whole lot of reasons to side with Cincinnati here, so this seems a pretty clear-cut San Francisco win--especially considering how well Cueto is pitching right now.