Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks - 5/4/16 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Arizona Diamondbacks (12-16) at Miami Marlins (13-12)
MLB Baseball: Wednesday, May 4, 2016 at 7:10 pm (Marlins Park)
R De La Rosa (3-3) (4.18) vs. J Fernandez (2-2) (4.08)
The Line: Miami Marlins -175 / Arizona Diamondbacks +165 --- Over/Under: 7.5 See the Latest Odds
TV: FSFL, FSAZ
Early Wednesday evening at Marlins Park, we’ve got game two of a three-game set coming between the Arizona Diamondbacks and the Miami Marlins.
In the opener of this mid-week series on Tuesday, the Marlins exploded for four runs in the sixth inning, riding the wave to an eventual 7-4 victory and an early series lead.
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Taking the mound for the Diamondbacks in Wednesday’s game will be right-hander Rubby De La Rosa. Lately things have gone well for De La Rosa, but he’s still got a 4.18 ERA with a 1.10 WHIP over 23.2 innings of work this season overall. On Thursday in his last outing against the Cardinals, De La Rosa posted 10 strikeouts over seven shutout innings to run his record to 3-3 on the season.
An up-and-coming (and pretty capable) group of hitters reside in the Diamondbacks lineup. Jean Segura leads the way with 37 hits, 12 runs and 15 RBI, but is currently dealing with a hip issue that has him out of the lineup. Wellington Castillo and Paul Goldschmidt have provided the power this year with 13 homers and 30 RBI between them. Castillo and Goldschmidt combined to go 4-for-7 with two RBI in the opener.
Over on the Miami side, talented right-hander Jose Fernandez will be taking the mound. Fernandez has five starts to his credit this year, and he’s accumulated a 2-2 record, a 4.08 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP over 28.2 innings. On Thursday when we last saw him, Fernandez posted two runs in six innings against the Dodgers, striking out eight hitters.
Even without Dee Gordon (suspension), the Marlins lineup is still plenty capable of scoring runs. Martin Prado leads the way with 33 hits, while Christian Yelich has posted 29 hits with 14 runs. Giancarlo Stanton has shown off his power this year with eight homers and 20 RBI. Stanton went 0-for-3 with a run on Tuesday, however.
The Diamondbacks are 6-2 in De La Rosa’s last eight starts against the National League East, but just 1-4 in De La Rosa’s last five starts after five days of rest. As for the Marlins, they’re 24-4 in Fernandez’s last 28 home starts, but 1-4 in their last five Wednesday games.
Despite the strong offenses on both sides, I like both pitchers here. Fernandez and De La Rosa are playing well and should be able to keep the opposing hitters in check, so I feel like the under is the most sensible play.