Atlanta Braves vs. Arizona Diamondbacks - 5/6/16 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Arizona Diamondbacks (12-18) at Atlanta Braves (7-20)
MLB Baseball: Friday, May 6, 2016 at 7:35 pm (Turner Field)
Z Greinke (2-2) (5.50) vs. Aaron Blair (0-1) (3.18)
The Line: Atlanta Braves +155 / Arizona Diamondbacks -165 --- Over/Under: 7 See the Latest Odds
TV: FSSO, FSAZ
On Friday in MLB action from Turner Field, the Arizona Diamondbacks and the Atlanta Braves are set to meet in the opener of their weekend series.
The Diamondbacks are coming into this game fresh off a three-game series with the Marlins. Arizona dropped the first two games to run their losing streak to five. On Thursday in the finale, the Diamondbacks could muster just five hits in a 4-0 defeat.
As for the Braves, they finished up an early-week set with the Mets on Wednesday. Atlanta won the middle game 3-0, but dropped the other two by a combined 12-1 score.
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The Diamondbacks will be rolling out right-hander Zack Greinke for Friday’s opener. It’s been a choppy season so far for Greinke, with his 5.50 ERA, 1.46 WHIP and 2-2 record across six starts and 37.2 innings pitched. That said, Greinke was strong against the Rockies in his last outing, going seven innings of two-run ball with eight strikeouts in a no-decision.
Arizona boasts a very talented group of hitters from top to bottom. Jean Segura has been electric on 40 hits with 12 runs and 15 RBI. Wellington Castillo has also been a nice find on his seven homers and 14 RBI. Paul Goldschmidt is another player of note, with 23 hits, six homers and 16 RBI. Castillo and Goldschmidt combined to go just 1-for-8 on Thursday.
The Braves will be going with right-hander Aaron Blair in Friday’s game. Blair has just two starts to his credit this year, but has pitched fairly well on a 3.18 ERA and 1.15 WHIP over 11.1 innings. On Friday in his last appearance, Blair posted just one run in six innings against the Cubs for a no-decision.
Overall, the Atlanta hitters don’t evoke much excitement. Nick Markakis is an exception to that rule, however, with his 27 hits and 20 RBI. Adonis Garcia has also played pretty well on 26 hits, eight runs and seven RBI. Freddie Freeman started out slowly but has since gained steam with a team-high three homers, 10 runs and 25 hits overall.
The Diamondbacks are just 1-6 in their last seven against the National League East, and 17-41 in their last 58 against a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
As for the Braves, they’re 0-4 in their last four game ones of a series, and 0-8 in their last eight home games against a right-handed starter.
I’m going to side with the Diamondbacks here, although it should be a fairly low-scoring game. If Greinke can’t rein in the Braves hitters, he’s having more trouble than any of us realizes.