Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies - 5/8/16 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Philadelphia Phillies (17-14) at Miami Marlins (16-13)
MLB Baseball: Sunday, May 8, 2016 at 1:10 pm (Marlins Park)
Aaron Nola (2-2) (2.92) vs. Justin Nicolino (2-0) (2.70)
The Line: Miami Marlins -115 / Philadelphia Phillies +105 --- Over/Under: 8 See the Latest Odds
TV: CSPh, FSFL
Early Sunday afternoon, the MLB is bringing us the finale of a weekend series between the Philadelphia Phillies and the Miami Marlins at Marlins Park.
This will be game three of the set. On Friday in the opening game, the Marlins bagged a 6-4 victory. In Saturday’s game two, the Phillies scored three runs in the eighth inning on the way to a 4-3 win that tied the series.
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Taking the mound on Sunday for the Phillies is right-hander Aaron Nola. It’s been a pretty good year for Nola so far, as he’s got a 2.93 ERA, a 0.80 WHIP and a 2-2 record across six starts and 40 innings. On Tuesday against the Cardinals, Nola hurled seven shutout innings against the Cardinals, striking out seven St. Louis batters.
The top-heavy Phillies lineup has been fairly productive this season. Odubel Herrera leads the team in hits (35) and runs (19) with 11 RBI. Miguel Franco is swinging a big stick with six homers and 17 RBI. Franco whiffed 0-for-4 on Saturday, however. The ageless Ryan Howard is also contributing with seven homers and 15 RBI, but carries an icky .185 BA.
We’ll be getting a dose of left-hander Justin Nicolino as the starting pitcher for the Marlins on Sunday. Nicolino has made two starts this year (winning both) across 13.1 innings for a 2.70 ERA and a 1.05 WHIP. In his most recent start Tuesday, Nicolino logged four runs in six innings against the Diamondbacks.
Even without Dee Gordon (suspension), this Marlins batting order carries some solid production capability. Martin Prado has posted 36 hits with a scorching .375 BA, while Christian Yelich isn’t far behind with 35 hits and 19 runs. Yelich was 2-for-4 with a run on Saturday. Giancarlo Stanton is the power hitter these days, with his 10 homers and 24 RBI. Stanton came up empty on an 0-for-4 line Saturday, though.
The Phillies are 5-1 in their last six Sunday games, but 1-4 in Nola’s last five starts against the National League East.
Meanwhile, the Marlins are 1-4 in their last five Sunday games and 4-0 in Nicolino’s last four starts.
I’m going to give a slight edge to the Marlins here, but I like the under a little better. Considering Nola and Nicolino are pitching well, a low-scoring game seems reasonable.